FK Partizan vs OFK Beograd Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: FK Partizan 3-1 OFK Beograd.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% FK Partizan, 26% draw, 42% OFK Beograd — fair odds of 3.13, 3.85 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts OFK Beograd at 42% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FK Partizan vs OFK Beograd
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 31M. KrunicG
- 30M. RoganovicD
- 44S. MilicD
- 40N. SimicD
- 20S. NwuluD
- 14I. BabaM
- 11M. VukoticM
- 19D. SeckM
- 17M. AleksicM
- 10I. MiladinovicM
- 9E. KojzekF
- 1M. MilosevicG
- 33S. PetrovicD
- 24V. DjurdjevicD
- 23S. MitrovicD
- 5M. MilovanovicD
- 90Z. AlilovicM
- 8A. ZekovicM
- 99B. KosticF
- 7C. TraoreM
- 31V. DraskicG
- 77M. GobeljicD
- 45A. VukicevicD
- 24U. StojanovicD
- 23M. RodicD
- 27H. AderojuM
- 6S. PenaM
- 14M. MomcilovicM
- 11T. De BarrM
- 9E. HoardF
- 42D. Y. Silue
- 80V. BarlovG
- 2S. DespotovskiD
- 4A. PavlovicD
- 16L. IvanovicD
- 10S. MarkovicM
- 91A. VasilicM
- 18H. ToureD
- 25I. Dembele
- 28J. MrvaljevicM
Form going into FK Partizan vs OFK Beograd
FK Partizan
- W2-1Getafe27 August 2026
- L1-3away to Mladost Lucani23 August 2026
- L1-3away to Getafe20 August 2026
- L0-1Radnicki 192316 August 2026
- W2-1away to FK Tobol Kostanay13 August 2026
OFK Beograd
- W1-0Zemun22 August 2026
- L0-2away to Cukaricki15 August 2026
- D2-2Železničar Pančevo9 August 2026
What these results say
- FK Partizan conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- FK Partizan scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for FK Partizan had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | FK Partizan | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | OFK Beograd | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FK Partizan vs OFK Beograd
- 9 May 2026FK Partizan 1–1 OFK BeogradSuper Liga
- 28 February 2026FK Partizan 1–2 OFK BeogradSuper Liga
- 27 September 2025OFK Beograd 0–2 FK PartizanSuper Liga
- 23 April 2025FK Partizan 2–2 OFK BeogradSuper Liga
- 15 February 2025FK Partizan 4–1 OFK BeogradSuper Liga
- 15 September 2024OFK Beograd 3–2 FK PartizanSuper Liga
Leading scorers: FK Partizan and OFK Beograd
FK Partizan
GoalsAssists
- E. Kojzek32
OFK Beograd
GoalsAssists
- Y. Silue60
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.