Deportivo Riestra vs Boca Juniors Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Deportivo Riestra 3-0 Boca Juniors.
Before kick-off the model made it 13% Deportivo Riestra, 26% draw, 61% Boca Juniors — fair odds of 7.69, 3.85 and 1.64. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Boca Juniors at 61% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Deportivo Riestra vs Boca Juniors
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Ignacio ArceG
- 24Facundo MiñoD
- 22Cristian PazD
- 2Carlos QuintanaD
- 36Mariano BracamonteM
- 8Milton CelizM
- 14Pablo MonjeM
- 15Nicolás SansotreM
- 10Braian SánchezF
- 11Alexander DíazF
- 7Antony AlonsoF
- 27Yonatan GoitiaD
- 9Nicolás BenegasF
- 21Tomás GonzalezF
- 6Ignacio GariglioD
- 16Nicolas WatsonM
- 23Marino ArzamendiaG
- 3Eric TovoD
- 13Rodrigo GalloD
- 20Thiago LauroM
- 1Álvaro MonteroG
- 27Malcom BraidaD
- 2Lautaro Di LolloD
- 26Marco PellegrinoD
- 3Lautaro BlancoD
- 18Milton DelgadoM
- 15Williams AlarcónM
- 21Kevin ZenónM
- 25Santiago AscacíbarM
- 20Alan VelascoM
- 19Leonel FloresF
- 22Sebastián VillaF
- 11Ángel RomeroF
- 10Tomás ArandaM
- 16Miguel MerentielF
- 23Camilo Rey DomenechM
- 13Javier GarcíaG
- 12Leandro BreyG
- 32Ayrton CostaD
- 4Nicolás FigalD
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Deportivo Riestra vs Boca Juniors
- 26 July 2026Deportivo Riestra 3–0 Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
- 25 January 2026Boca Juniors 1–0 Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina
- 27 October 2024Boca Juniors 1–1 Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Deportivo Riestra and Boca Juniors
Deportivo Riestra
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Boca Juniors
- M. Merentiel6 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.