Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente Rivadavia Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Atletico Tucuman 0-0 Independiente Rivadavia.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Atletico Tucuman, 32% draw, 33% Independiente Rivadavia — fair odds of 2.86, 3.13 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Atletico Tucuman at 35% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente Rivadavia
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Luis IngolottiG
- 3Maximiliano VillaD
- 26Clever FerreiraD
- 36Luciano VallejoD
- 2Ramiro PauneroD
- 31Lautaro Agustin GodoyM
- 19Leonel VegaM
- 10Franco NicolaM
- 11Renzo TesuriF
- 9Leandro DíazF
- 23Nicolás LaméndolaF
- 24Leonel Di PlácidoD
- 18Ramiro Ruiz RodríguezF
- 22Facundo PimientaF
- 45Kevin OrtízM
- 25Tomás DursoG
- 6Gianluca FerrariD
- 4Tomás JungD
- 28Gabriel CompagnucciD
- 27Rodrigo GranilloF
- 30Nicolás BolcatoG
- 14Luciano GómezD
- 2Leonard CostaD
- 40Iván VillalbaD
- 42Sheyko StuderD
- 3Juan Manuel ElordiD
- 10Matías FernándezM
- 8Leonel BuccaM
- 25José FlorentínM
- 9Alex ArceF
- 43Fabrizio SartoriF
- 11Gonzalo RíosM
- 77Luis SequeiraM
- 5Tomás BottariM
- 20Alessandro RiepM
- 19Rodrigo AtencioF
- 21Emmanuel GómezG
- 13Alejo OsellaD
- 34Stefano MoreyraM
- 32Kevin VázquezM
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Independiente Rivadavia | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente Rivadavia
- 24 January 2026Independiente Rivadavia 2–1 Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 4 August 2024Atletico Tucuman 2–1 Independiente RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 17 March 2024Atletico Tucuman 2–2 Independiente RivadaviaCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 6 September 2015Independiente Rivadavia 1–3 Atletico TucumanPrimera Nacional
- 19 April 2015Atletico Tucuman 2–0 Independiente RivadaviaPrimera Nacional
The full Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente Rivadavia record →
Leading scorers: Atletico Tucuman and Independiente Rivadavia
Atletico Tucuman
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Independiente Rivadavia
GoalsAssists
- A. Arce91
- F. Sartori80
- J. Florentín71
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Atletico Tucuman and Independiente Rivadavia drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Atletico Tucuman at 35% and given a draw 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.26–1.15.