Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente Rivadavia Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Atletico Tucuman 0-0 Independiente Rivadavia.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Atletico Tucuman, 32% draw, 33% Independiente Rivadavia — fair odds of 2.86, 3.13 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Atletico Tucuman at 35% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente Rivadavia
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Luis IngolottiG
- 3Maximiliano VillaD
- 26Clever FerreiraD
- 36Luciano VallejoD
- 2Ramiro PauneroD
- 31Lautaro Agustin GodoyM
- 19Leonel VegaM
- 10Franco NicolaM
- 11Renzo TesuriF
- 9Leandro DíazF
- 23Nicolás LaméndolaF
- 24Leonel Di PlácidoD
- 18Ramiro Ruiz RodríguezF
- 22Facundo PimientaF
- 45Kevin OrtízM
- 25Tomás DursoG
- 6Gianluca FerrariD
- 4Tomás JungD
- 28Gabriel CompagnucciD
- 27Rodrigo GranilloF
- 30Nicolás BolcatoG
- 14Luciano GómezD
- 2Leonard CostaD
- 40Iván VillalbaD
- 42Sheyko StuderD
- 3Juan Manuel ElordiD
- 10Matías FernándezM
- 8Leonel BuccaM
- 25José FlorentínM
- 9Alex ArceF
- 43Fabrizio SartoriF
- 11Gonzalo RíosM
- 77Luis SequeiraM
- 5Tomás BottariM
- 20Alessandro RiepM
- 19Rodrigo AtencioF
- 21Emmanuel GómezG
- 13Alejo OsellaD
- 34Stefano MoreyraM
- 32Kevin VázquezM
Head-to-head: Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente Rivadavia
- 26 July 2026Atletico Tucuman 0–0 Independiente RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 24 January 2026Independiente Rivadavia 2–1 Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 4 August 2024Atletico Tucuman 2–1 Independiente RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 17 March 2024Atletico Tucuman 2–2 Independiente RivadaviaCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 6 September 2015Independiente Rivadavia 1–3 Atletico TucumanPrimera Nacional
- 19 April 2015Atletico Tucuman 2–0 Independiente RivadaviaPrimera Nacional
Leading scorers: Atletico Tucuman and Independiente Rivadavia
Atletico Tucuman
- L. Díaz7 goals1 assists
Independiente Rivadavia
- A. Arce9 goals1 assists
- F. Sartori8 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.