Cracovia Krakow vs Wieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Cracovia Krakow 3-2 Wieczysta Kraków.
Before kick-off the model made it 64% Cracovia Krakow, 21% draw, 15% Wieczysta Kraków — fair odds of 1.56, 4.76 and 6.67.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Cracovia Krakow at 64%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Cracovia Krakow vs Wieczysta Kraków
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13S. MadejskiG
- 79D. PilaD
- 4G. HenrikssonD
- 61B. TraoreD
- 39M. PerkovicD
- 14A. HasicM
- 43M. KlichM
- 6A. Al AmmariM
- 70D. KameriM
- 17M. MinchevM
- 18K. ZahiroleslamF
- 23H. RavasG
- 28V. BurletD
- 15K. GlikD
- 22D. BaumgartnerD
- 25O. KakabadzeD
- 7M. PraszelikM
- 20K. KnapM
- 29W. DejM
- 5B. Selan
- 1A. MikulkoG
- 17K. DankowskiD
- 24M. WieteskaD
- 16A. MilicD
- 27M. VojtkoD
- 70P. PusicM
- 20M. MaigaardM
- 12L. PiazonM
- 7L. SemedoF
- 10T. ChristensenF
- 97T. MrasF
- 26N. CavlinaG
- 4K. FilaD
- 55D. DujmovicD
- 15A. DjermanovicD
- 13K. ZagrodzkiD
- 8B. LedermanM
- 11N. KnezevicM
- 88C. LungoyiF
- 23Miki VillarM
Form going into Cracovia Krakow vs Wieczysta Kraków
Cracovia Krakow
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Raków Częstochowa16 August 2026
- D0-0away to Slask Wroclaw9 August 2026
- L0-2Pogon Szczecin3 August 2026
- D0-0away to Lech Poznan25 July 2026
Wieczysta Kraków
All competitions we cover
- W4-3away to Piast Gliwice15 August 2026
- L1-2away to GKS Katowice9 August 2026
- L1-2Lech Poznan1 August 2026
- L1-2away to Radomiak Radom24 July 2026
What these results say
- Cracovia Krakow failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Cracovia Krakow failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Cracovia Krakow had two goals or fewer.
- Wieczysta Kraków scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Wieczysta Kraków conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Wieczysta Kraków had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cracovia Krakow | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 |
| 18 | Wieczysta Kraków | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Cracovia Krakow and Wieczysta Kraków
Cracovia Krakow
GoalsAssists
- A. Hasić72
Wieczysta Kraków
GoalsAssists
- Lucas Piazón42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Cracovia Krakow beat Wieczysta Kraków 3–2. The model had made a win for Cracovia Krakow its most likely outcome, at 64%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: M. Wieteska 23' for Wieczysta Kraków, M. Perkovic 45' for Cracovia Krakow, L. Semedo (penalty) 53' for Wieczysta Kraków, A. Hasic 78' for Cracovia Krakow, A. Hasic 90' for Cracovia Krakow. On expected goals it finished 2.08–1.98.