CODM Meknès
vs
UTS Rabat
Botola Pro prediction
Our model says: CODM Meknès 0–1 UTS Rabat
The model makes it 33% CODM Meknès, 30% draw, 37% UTS Rabat — fair odds of 3.03, 3.33 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: CODM Meknès 1.25, UTS Rabat 1.39.
Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, under 2.5: 51%.
Model confidence: Low.
Published
Key facts
- CODM Meknès are 4th on 3 points from 2 games; UTS Rabat are 2nd on 6 points from 2 games — Botola Pro.
- Last 4 meetings: UTS Rabat 1 win to 0, 3 draws; the most recent, 17 June 2026, ended UTS Rabat 2–0 CODM Meknès.
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat
Has the model earned this number?
It puts UTS Rabat at 37% here. Across 3,039 settled matches (as of 5 October 2026), 2,396 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat
CODM Meknès
- L0-1Kawkab Marrakech3 October 2026
- W6-2away to Difaa EL Jadida26 September 2026
UTS Rabat
- W1-0away to Widad Témara2 October 2026
- W2-1FUS Rabat26 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CODM Meknès | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 | UTS Rabat | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat
- 17 June 2026UTS Rabat 2–0 CODM MeknèsBotola Pro
- 31 January 2026CODM Meknès 1–1 UTS RabatBotola Pro
- 14 February 2025CODM Meknès 0–0 UTS RabatBotola Pro
- 19 October 2024UTS Rabat 0–0 CODM MeknèsBotola Pro
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
CODM Meknès carry a model rating of 6.26 against 6.36 for UTS Rabat. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.25 goals for CODM Meknès and 1.39 for UTS Rabat. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
CODM Meknès rate 0.60 in attack and 1.97 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; UTS Rabat rate 0.63 and 1.68.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,433 correct results out of 3,044 settled predictions (47%), with 301 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives UTS Rabat the highest probability at 37%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.25 expected goals for CODM Meknès against 1.39 for UTS Rabat. CODM Meknès's attack/defence rating is 0.6/1.97 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.63/1.68 for UTS Rabat.