Widad Témara
vs
Kawkab Marrakech
Botola Pro prediction
Our model says: Widad Témara 1–0 Kawkab Marrakech
The model makes it 37% Widad Témara, 32% draw, 31% Kawkab Marrakech — fair odds of 2.70, 3.13 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Widad Témara 1.17, Kawkab Marrakech 0.98.
Both teams to score: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 36%, under 2.5: 64%.
Model confidence: Low.
Published
Key facts
- Widad Témara are 5th on 3 points from 2 games; Kawkab Marrakech are 6th on 3 points from 2 games — Botola Pro.
- Last 4 meetings: Kawkab Marrakech 1 win to 0, 3 draws; the most recent, 18 June 2021, ended Kawkab Marrakech 3–1 Widad Témara.
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Widad Témara at 37% here. Across 3,039 settled matches (as of 5 October 2026), 2,396 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech
Widad Témara
- L0-1UTS Rabat2 October 2026
- W3-1away to Wydad AC26 September 2026
Kawkab Marrakech
- W1-0away to CODM Meknès3 October 2026
- L2-3Hassania Agadir27 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Widad Témara | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Kawkab Marrakech | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech
- 18 June 2021Kawkab Marrakech 3–1 Widad TémaraBotola 2
- 28 February 2021Widad Témara 0–0 Kawkab MarrakechBotola 2
- 8 February 2020Widad Témara 1–1 Kawkab MarrakechBotola 2
- 29 September 2019Kawkab Marrakech 1–1 Widad TémaraBotola 2
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Widad Témara carry a model rating of 6.35 against 6.32 for Kawkab Marrakech. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.17 goals for Widad Témara and 0.98 for Kawkab Marrakech. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Widad Témara rate 0.62 in attack and 1.68 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Kawkab Marrakech rate 0.52 and 1.52.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,433 correct results out of 3,044 settled predictions (47%), with 301 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Widad Témara the highest probability at 37%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.17 expected goals for Widad Témara against 0.98 for Kawkab Marrakech. Widad Témara's attack/defence rating is 0.62/1.68 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.52/1.52 for Kawkab Marrakech.