Brondby vs Sonderjyske Superliga prediction & result
Final score: Brondby 3-2 Sonderjyske.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Brondby, 26% draw, 23% Sonderjyske — fair odds of 1.96, 3.85 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Brondby at 51%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Brondby vs Sonderjyske
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1P. PentzG
- 2O. VilladsenD
- 30J. VanlerbergheD
- 4L. BinksD
- 27M. KohlertD
- 99B. SliszM
- 18M. EjdumM
- 21M. YounisM
- 29M. Frokjaer-JensenM
- 7O. HyseniM
- 51O. FengerF
- 50W. Sonne SchmidG
- 3C. OlivierD
- 37R. CanutD
- 10D. WassM
- 42M. JensenM
- 9P. MortensenF
- 11F. BundgaardF
- 38J. AmbaekF
- 19S. FukudaF
- 16M. BundgaardG
- 22A. OggesenD
- 25B. BjarnasonD
- 12M. SoulasD
- 23E. DuruD
- 7S. EminiM
- 33J. ChristensenM
- 32D. BoisonM
- 8M. HaidaraM
- 26B. TambedouM
- 15L. QamiliF
- 1N. FloG
- 4D. L. GretarssonD
- 30G. WagnerD
- 20T. KlysnerD
- 28A. BergholtM
- 17A. Hoeg
- 14T. HaltvikF
- 9M. HoppeF
- 31I. Seydi
Form going into Brondby vs Sonderjyske
Brondby
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to AC Horsens9 August 2026
- W1-0Viborg2 August 2026
- D1-1away to Aarhus25 July 2026
Sonderjyske
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Viborg7 August 2026
- L0-1away to Odense3 August 2026
- L2-3FC Midtjylland26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Brondby | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 21 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Brondby vs Sonderjyske
- 26 April 2026Sonderjyske 3–0 BrondbySuperliga
- 17 April 2026Brondby 6–0 SonderjyskeSuperliga
- 23 February 2026Brondby 0–0 SonderjyskeSuperliga
- 24 August 2025Sonderjyske 2–0 BrondbySuperliga
- 24 November 2024Sonderjyske 2–2 BrondbySuperliga
Leading scorers: Brondby and Sonderjyske
Brondby
GoalsAssists
- M. Frøkjær-Jensen51
- O. Hyseni43
Sonderjyske
GoalsAssists
- M. Haidara50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Brondby beat Sonderjyske 3–2. The model had made a win for Brondby its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: M. Frokjaer-Jensen 18' for Brondby, M. Frokjaer-Jensen 30' for Brondby, O. Hyseni 45' for Brondby, B. Tambedou 58' for Sonderjyske, M. Haidara 64' for Sonderjyske. On expected goals it finished 1.38–0.82.