Randers FC
vs
FC Copenhagen
Superliga prediction
The model makes it 33% Randers FC, 28% draw, 39% FC Copenhagen — fair odds of 3.03, 3.57 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Randers FC 1.22, FC Copenhagen 1.34.
Both teams to score: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 47%, under 2.5: 53%.
Model confidence: Low.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Randers FC
- W2-0Lyngby9 August 2026
- L0-1away to FC Nordsjaelland2 August 2026
- D1-1Silkeborg27 July 2026
FC Copenhagen
- W3-1away to Silkeborg2 August 2026
- W3-2Lyngby26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Randers FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Leading scorers
Randers FC
No league goals recorded yet.
FC Copenhagen
- M. Elyounoussi4 goals
- B. Meling2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Randers FC carry a model rating of 6.47 against 6.66 for FC Copenhagen. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Randers FC D-L-W; FC Copenhagen W-W.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.22 goals for Randers FC and 1.34 for FC Copenhagen. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Randers FC rate 0.56 in attack and 1.23 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FC Copenhagen rate 0.78 and 1.15.
That points to 47% for over two and a half goals and 53% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 288 correct results out of 598 settled predictions (48%), with 58 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC Copenhagen the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.22 expected goals for Randers FC against 1.34 for FC Copenhagen. Randers FC's attack/defence rating is 0.56/1.23 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.78/1.15 for FC Copenhagen.