Lyngby vs FC Midtjylland Superliga prediction & result
Final score: Lyngby 1-1 FC Midtjylland.
Before kick-off the model made it 65% Lyngby, 17% draw, 18% FC Midtjylland — fair odds of 1.54, 5.88 and 5.56.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Lyngby at 65%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lyngby vs FC Midtjylland
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 31D. KochenG
- 2O. BuurD
- 30M. FischerD
- 24M. GaranangaD
- 25R. TytensD
- 19G. FrauloM
- 18J. ThomasenM
- 13DaniM
- 14L. SandgravM
- 10I. Thorvaldsson
- 7S. ColynF
- 1J. AegidiusG
- 6D. F. KristjanssonD
- 12D. AronssonD
- 4C. AllenD
- 8M. HeboM
- 17W. SteindorssonM
- 5O. HojerM
- 26F. GytkjaerF
- 16A. BondergaardF
- 1E. OlafssonG
- 3M. JensenD
- 6M. ErlicD
- 22M. B. SorensenD
- 5R. KristensenM
- 8P. BillingM
- 19P. BravoM
- 15D. Beni
- 11D. OsorioF
- 20V. ByskovF
- 7FranculinoF
- 25N. BakkerG
- 13A. GabrielD
- 29K. WatjenM
- 27S. JohannesenM
- 21D. CastilloM
- 10Cho Gue-SungF
- 18S. IheanachoF
- 90F. EtimF
- 38J. EmefileM
Form going into Lyngby vs FC Midtjylland
Lyngby
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Randers FC9 August 2026
- D2-2Aarhus1 August 2026
- L2-3away to FC Copenhagen26 July 2026
FC Midtjylland
All competitions we cover
- W3-2Bohemians13 August 2026
- W2-0away to Bohemians6 August 2026
- W2-1AC Horsens2 August 2026
- L0-2Beşiktaş30 July 2026
- W3-2away to Sonderjyske26 July 2026
What these results say
- FC Midtjylland won 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Midtjylland scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Midtjylland conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lyngby | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 11 |
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 14 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 29 | 17 | +12 | 32 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Lyngby vs FC Midtjylland
- 16 February 2025FC Midtjylland 1–0 LyngbySuperliga
- 16 August 2024Lyngby 1–2 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
- 27 October 2023FC Midtjylland 2–1 LyngbySuperliga
- 6 August 2023Lyngby 4–1 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
- 7 May 2023Lyngby 2–1 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
Leading scorers: Lyngby and FC Midtjylland
Lyngby
GoalsAssists
- S. Colyn53
FC Midtjylland
GoalsAssists
- F. Etim63
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Lyngby and FC Midtjylland drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Lyngby at 65% and given a draw 17%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goals: S. Iheanacho 50' for FC Midtjylland, G. Fraulo 59' for Lyngby. On expected goals it finished 0.50–1.17.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.