Brinje-Grosuplje
vs
Bravo
1. SNL prediction
Our model says: Brinje-Grosuplje 1–2 Bravo
The model makes it 35% Brinje-Grosuplje, 28% draw, 37% Bravo — fair odds of 2.86, 3.57 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Brinje-Grosuplje 1.33, Bravo 1.41.
Both teams to score: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 52%, under 2.5: 48%.
Model confidence: Low.
A tight game: Brinje-Grosuplje and Bravo are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.
Published
Key facts
- Brinje-Grosuplje are 8th on 11 points from 11 games; Bravo are 3rd on 18 points from 11 games — 1. SNL.
- Brinje-Grosuplje have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to Maribor.
- Bravo have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to Nafta.
- Last 2 meetings: Bravo 1 win to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 9 August 2026, ended Bravo 1–1 Brinje-Grosuplje.
More Slovenian PrvaLiga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Brinje-Grosuplje vs Bravo
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Bravo at 37% here. Across 3,740 settled matches (as of 15 October 2026), 2,920 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Brinje-Grosuplje vs Bravo
Brinje-Grosuplje
- L1-2Maribor11 October 2026
- W2-1Radomlje20 September 2026
- L1-2Nafta11 September 2026
- L0-3away to Olimpija Ljubljana5 September 2026
- W4-1Celje30 August 2026
Bravo
- L0-1away to Nafta11 October 2026
- W2-1Olimpija Ljubljana20 September 2026
- W2-1Celje12 September 2026
- D0-0away to Aluminij5 September 2026
- W2-0Mura29 August 2026
What these results say
- Brinje-Grosuplje conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Brinje-Grosuplje had three goals or more.
- Brinje-Grosuplje scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
1. SNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Brinje-Grosuplje | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
| 3 | Bravo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Brinje-Grosuplje vs Bravo
- 9 August 2026Bravo 1–1 Brinje-Grosuplje1. SNL
- 23 May 2020Bravo 6–0 Brinje-GrosupljeFriendlies Clubs
The two sides
Brinje-Grosuplje carry a model rating of 6.26 against 6.44 for Bravo. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.33 goals for Brinje-Grosuplje and 1.41 for Bravo. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Brinje-Grosuplje rate 0.59 in attack and 1.92 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Bravo rate 0.61 and 1.39.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Brinje-Grosuplje a 0.1% chance of the title and Bravo 5.1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,790 correct results out of 3,756 settled predictions (48%), with 377 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Bravo the highest probability at 37%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.33 expected goals for Brinje-Grosuplje against 1.41 for Bravo. Brinje-Grosuplje's attack/defence rating is 0.59/1.92 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.61/1.39 for Bravo.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Brinje-Grosuplje at home · Bravo away
League matches only, 1. SNL, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All 1. SNL matches this season: Brinje-Grosuplje 11, Bravo 11.
Brinje-Grosuplje score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Bravo have let in 4 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Brinje-Grosuplje
- at Mura1 Nov · 1. SNLwin 33%
- vs Aluminij7 Nov · 1. SNLwin 40%
- at Celje21 Nov · 1. SNLwin 14%
- vs Olimpija Ljubljana28 Nov · 1. SNLwin 33%
Bravo
- vs Koper2 Nov · 1. SNLwin 38%
- vs Maribor7 Nov · 1. SNLwin 36%
- at Mura21 Nov · 1. SNLwin 42%
- vs Aluminij28 Nov · 1. SNLwin 48%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.