Regular Season - 1 · 16 August 2026, 18:30 UTC

Beşiktaş vs Eyüpspor Süper Lig prediction

Besiktas Park, Istanbul

The model makes it 62% Beşiktaş, 20% draw, 18% Eyüpspor — fair odds of 1.61, 5.00 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).

Expected goals: Beşiktaş 2.37, Eyüpspor 1.24.

Both teams to score: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%, under 2.5: 30%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

65%
Both teams to score
70%
Over 2.5 goals
30%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines2-1 9%1-1 8%2-0 8%

Head-to-head: Beşiktaş vs Eyüpspor

  • 26 January 2026Eyüpspor 2–2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
  • 17 August 2025Beşiktaş 2–1 EyüpsporSüper Lig
  • 21 February 2025Eyüpspor 1–3 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
  • 22 September 2024Beşiktaş 2–1 EyüpsporSüper Lig
  • 16 January 2024Beşiktaş 4–0 EyüpsporTürkiye Kupası
  • 22 February 2023Beşiktaş 3–2 EyüpsporFriendlies Clubs

The two sides

Beşiktaş carry a model rating of 6.77 against 6.59 for Eyüpspor. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.

Recent form (most recent last): Beşiktaş W-W-W.

The model expects goals

Under the hood the model expects 2.37 goals for Beşiktaş and 1.24 for Eyüpspor. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.

Beşiktaş rate 1.07 in attack and 1.30 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Eyüpspor rate 0.68 and 1.17.

That points to 70% for over two and a half goals and 65% for both teams to score.

The three most likely scorelines are 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-0 (8%).

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 288 correct results out of 598 settled predictions (48%), with 58 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Beşiktaş the highest probability at 62%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.37 expected goals for Beşiktaş against 1.24 for Eyüpspor. Beşiktaş's attack/defence rating is 1.07/1.3 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.68/1.17 for Eyüpspor.