Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan Botola Pro prediction & result
Final score: Ittihad Tanger 1-1 Moghreb Tetouan.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Ittihad Tanger, 33% draw, 31% Moghreb Tetouan — fair odds of 2.78, 3.03 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Ittihad Tanger at 36%: of 4,355 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.5% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
Form going into Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan
Ittihad Tanger
All competitions we cover
- W3-1away to Amal Tiznit24 September 2026
Moghreb Tetouan
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Renaissance Berkane27 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ittihad Tanger | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 15 | Moghreb Tetouan | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan
- 14 April 2025Moghreb Tetouan 2–1 Ittihad TangerBotola Pro
- 23 November 2024Ittihad Tanger 1–2 Moghreb TetouanBotola Pro
- 14 April 2024Moghreb Tetouan 1–1 Ittihad TangerBotola Pro
- 26 November 2023Ittihad Tanger 1–1 Moghreb TetouanBotola Pro
- 21 February 2023Ittihad Tanger 2–0 Moghreb TetouanBotola Pro
The result against the call
Ittihad Tanger and Moghreb Tetouan drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Ittihad Tanger at 36% and given a draw 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: M. Karmoun 34' for Moghreb Tetouan, Y. Najari 57' for Ittihad Tanger.
How the call on Ittihad Tanger v Moghreb Tetouan has moved
First published on 20 Sep at 40% / 31% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 36% / 33% / 31%: the biggest move is Ittihad Tanger's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Ittihad Tanger win36%▼ −4
- Draw33%▲ +2
- Moghreb Tetouan win31%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.