Athletic Club vs Londrina Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Athletic Club 2-2 Londrina.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Athletic Club, 24% draw, 26% Londrina — fair odds of 2.00, 4.17 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Brazilian Serie B predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Athletic Club at 50% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 989 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 56.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Athletic Club vs Londrina
Line-ups
- 1LuanG
- 75Kauê LeonardoD
- 44Caio RodriguesD
- 4WallaceD
- 34HeronD
- 5TárikM
- 7Victor HugoM
- 38Geovane MeurerM
- 22João VitorM
- 28HerbertM
- 23William PottkerF
- 96ThalisM
- 17João ConiF
- 30Mauricio KozlinskiG
- 9GilbertoF
- 13André Dhominique Queiroz Santiago da SilvaD
- 33KevynD
- 15Gabriel LacerdaD
- 19Cainã Santos Da SilvaM
- 99Igor BahiaF
Form going into Athletic Club vs Londrina
Athletic Club
- D0-0Alaves19 September 2026
- D1-1Elche12 September 2026
- W3-0Atletico Madrid5 September 2026
- W2-0away to Celta Vigo30 August 2026
- L0-2away to Barcelona27 August 2026
Londrina
- L1-2away to Avai7 October 2026
- L0-2Criciuma2 October 2026
- L0-2away to Vila Nova25 September 2026
- L1-2Fortaleza EC20 September 2026
What these results say
- 4 of these 5 matches for Athletic Club had two goals or fewer.
- Londrina did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Londrina conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Athletic Club and Londrina in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Athletic Club | La Liga | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 18 | Londrina | Serie B | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 29 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: La Liga · Serie B
Head-to-head: Athletic Club vs Londrina
- 20 June 2026Londrina 2–0 Athletic Club MGSerie B
- 5 October 2024Athletic Club MG 2–1 LondrinaSerie C
- 2 September 2024Londrina 2–3 Athletic Club MGSerie C
- 13 July 2024Athletic Club MG 2–1 LondrinaSerie C
Leading scorers: Athletic Club and Londrina
Athletic Club
No player in La Liga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Londrina
GoalsAssists
- Bruno Santos113
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The result against the call
Athletic Club and Londrina drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Athletic Club at 50% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: João Vitor de Souza Martins (penalty) 4' for Londrina, João Miguel 18' for Athletic Club MG, João Vitor de Souza Martins (penalty) 84' for Londrina, João Miguel 89' for Athletic Club MG.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.