14 August 2026, 18:30 UTC

Arges Pitesti vs Farul Constanta Liga I prediction & result

Mioveni
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Arges Pitesti 1-1 Farul Constanta.

Before kick-off the model made it 69% Arges Pitesti, 17% draw, 14% Farul Constanta — fair odds of 1.45, 5.88 and 7.14.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Arges Pitesti at 69%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Arges Pitesti8%Draw89%Farul Constanta3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

15'
Victor Dican
17'
•Victor Dican
⚽Robert Moldoveanuassist: Dorinel Oancea
18'
22'
⚽Eduard Radaslavescuassist: Eddy Sylvestre
Vadim Rață
37'
🔁Dorinel Oanceaout: Florin Borța
46'
🔁Ionuț Rădescuout: Silviu Balaure
46'
🔁Yanis Pîrvuout: Patrick Dulcea
65'
🔁Vadim Rațăout: Oluwatobiloba Alagbe
66'
66'
🔁Dan Sîrbuout: Luca Banu
71'
🔁Eddy Sylvestreout: Jakub Vojtuš
72'
🔁Sofyane Bouzamouchaout: Ionuț Larie
🔁Robert Moldoveanuout: Claudiu Micovschi
80'
89'
🔁Eduard Radaslavescuout: Nicolas Popescu
90'
🔁Iustin Doicaruout: Răzvan Tănasă

Match stats — Arges Pitesti vs Farul Constanta

55%Possession45%
13Shots8
4On target4
3Corners2

Line-ups

Arges Pitesti
  • 34Cătălin CăbuzG
  • 26Dorinel OanceaD
  • 6Mario TudoseD
  • 3Leard SadriuD
  • 2Costinel TofanD
  • 16Ionuț RădescuM
  • 27Rober SierraM
  • 22Vadim RațăM
  • 92Taylor LuvamboF
  • 11Yanis PîrvuF
  • 99Robert MoldoveanuF
Substitutes
  • 23Florin BorțaD
  • 96Silviu BalaureM
  • 20Patrick DulceaM
  • 69Oluwatobiloba AlagbeD
  • 19Claudiu MicovschiF
  • 31Matteo ȘerbanG
  • 33Luca CrăciunG
  • 4Evagoras AntoniouD
  • 15Guilherme GaruttiD
Coach: Ioan Andone Bogdan
Farul Constanta
  • 12Rafael MunteanuG
  • 24Sofyane BouzamouchaD
  • 6Victor DicanD
  • 4Gustavo MarinsD
  • 22Dan SîrbuM
  • 23Tony NjikéM
  • 70Matteo AhlinviM
  • 3Valentin ȚicuM
  • 10Eddy SylvestreF
  • 19Iustin DoicaruF
  • 20Eduard RadaslavescuF
Substitutes
  • 18Luca BanuM
  • 25Jakub VojtušF
  • 17Ionuț LarieD
  • 80Nicolas PopescuM
  • 71Răzvan TănasăM
  • 1Alexandru BuzbuchiG
  • 33João FerreiraD
  • 2David MafteiD
  • 13Ionuț CercelD
Coach: Ioan Sabau

Form going into Arges Pitesti vs Farul Constanta

Arges Pitesti

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0away to Universitatea Craiova9 August 2026
  • W1-0Csikszereda31 July 2026
  • W1-0Petrolul Ploiesti24 July 2026
  • L0-2away to FCSB17 July 2026

Farul Constanta

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2Csikszereda8 August 2026
  • D2-2away to FCSB3 August 2026
  • W2-0Corvinul Hunedoara25 July 2026
  • L1-2away to Universitatea Cluj19 July 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Arges Pitesti154381017-715
6Farul Constanta156632422+224

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Arges Pitesti vs Farul Constanta

  • 22 February 2026Arges Pitesti 1–0 Farul ConstantaLiga I
  • 17 October 2025Farul Constanta 0–0 Arges PitestiLiga I
  • 12 February 2023Arges Pitesti 0–0 Farul ConstantaLiga I
  • 10 January 2023Farul Constanta 4–1 Arges PitestiFriendlies Clubs
  • 11 September 2022Farul Constanta 3–0 Arges PitestiLiga I

Leading scorers: Arges Pitesti and Farul Constanta

Arges Pitesti

No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

Farul Constanta

GoalsAssists

  • M. Ahlinvi71
  • E. Rădăslăvescu53

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Arges Pitesti and Farul Constanta drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Arges Pitesti at 69% and given a draw 17%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goals: Robert Moldoveanu 18' for Arges Pitesti, Eduard Radaslavescu 22' for Farul Constanta.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.