Argentinos Juniors
vs
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina prediction
Our model says: Argentinos Juniors 1–0 Huracan
The model makes it 47% Argentinos Juniors, 32% draw, 21% Huracan — fair odds of 2.13, 3.13 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (19%).
Expected goals: Argentinos Juniors 1.21, Huracan 0.62.
Both teams to score: 33%. Over 2.5 goals: 28%, under 2.5: 72%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 45% of the time, over 2,236 settled matches.
Edge to Argentinos Juniors: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Key facts
- Argentinos Juniors are 2nd on 25 points from 13 games; Huracan are 8th on 19 points from 14 games — Liga Profesional Argentina, Clausura - Group B.
- Argentinos Juniors are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 1-0 win away to Banfield.
- Huracan are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat away to Rosario Central.
- Last 6 meetings: Argentinos Juniors 2 wins to 1, 3 draws; the most recent, 13 May 2026, ended Argentinos Juniors 1–0 Huracan.
More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Argentinos Juniors vs Huracan
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Argentinos Juniors at 47% here. Across 4,776 settled matches (as of 25 October 2026), 2,217 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Argentinos Juniors vs Huracan
Argentinos Juniors
Liga Profesional Argentina
- W1-0away to Banfield17 October 2026
- D1-1away to Platense11 October 2026
- W2-1Tigre4 October 2026
- L0-1away to Rosario Central20 September 2026
- D1-1Gimnasia La Plata13 September 2026
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina
- L0-2away to Rosario Central25 October 2026
- L1-2Gimnasia La Plata15 October 2026
- L0-2away to Barracas Central10 October 2026
- W1-0Aldosivi4 October 2026
- W2-1away to River Plate19 September 2026
What these results say
- Argentinos Juniors scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Argentinos Juniors conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Argentinos Juniors had two goals or fewer.
- Huracan conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Argentinos Juniors | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 25 |
| 8 | Huracan | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Argentinos Juniors vs Huracan
- 13 May 2026Argentinos Juniors 1–0 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 28 April 2026Huracan 1–2 Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
- 16 August 2025Huracan 1–0 Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
- 12 February 2025Argentinos Juniors 1–1 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 24 August 2024Argentinos Juniors 0–0 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 14 August 2024Argentinos Juniors 1–1 HuracanCopa Argentina
Leading scorers: Argentinos Juniors and Huracan
Argentinos Juniors
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.
Huracan
GoalsAssists
- J. Caicedo140
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Argentinos Juniors carry a model rating of 6.78 against 6.6 for Huracan. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects a tight, low-scoring game
Under the hood the model expects 1.21 goals for Argentinos Juniors and 0.62 for Huracan. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Argentinos Juniors rate 0.86 in attack and 0.99 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Huracan rate 0.68 and 1.14.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,309 correct results out of 4,819 settled predictions (48%), with 476 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Argentinos Juniors the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.21 expected goals for Argentinos Juniors against 0.62 for Huracan. Argentinos Juniors's attack/defence rating is 0.86/0.99 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.68/1.14 for Huracan.
How the model reaches 47% for Argentinos Juniors to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 34% for Argentinos Juniors to win. Then home advantage adds 7 points, Argentinos Juniors's ratings take away 4 points and Huracan's ratings add 10 points, which lands on the published 47%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground34%
- Home advantage41%+7
- Argentinos Juniors's ratings37%−4
- Huracan's ratings47%+10
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Argentinos Juniors at home · Huracan away
League matches only, Liga Profesional Argentina, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga Profesional Argentina matches this season: Argentinos Juniors 32, Huracan 31.
Argentinos Juniors score most often in the 61–75 minute window (9 goals); Huracan have let in 6 there.
Huracan score most often in the 76–90 minute window (8 goals); Argentinos Juniors have let in 3 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.