Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir Botola Pro prediction & result
Final score: Kawkab Marrakech 2-3 Hassania Agadir.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Kawkab Marrakech, 33% draw, 28% Hassania Agadir — fair odds of 2.56, 3.03 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Kawkab Marrakech at 39%: of 4,355 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.5% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kawkab Marrakech | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Hassania Agadir | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir
- 5 July 2026Hassania Agadir 1–1 Kawkab MarrakechBotola Pro
- 7 March 2026Kawkab Marrakech 2–1 Hassania AgadirBotola Pro
- 29 August 2025Hassania Agadir 0–2 Kawkab MarrakechFriendlies Clubs
- 27 March 2024Kawkab Marrakech 1–2 Hassania AgadirCup
- 3 March 2021Kawkab Marrakech 1–1 Hassania AgadirCup
The result against the call
Hassania Agadir won 3–2 at Kawkab Marrakech. The model had leaned towards a win for Kawkab Marrakech at 39% and given a win for Hassania Agadir 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: H. Moumadi 3' for Hassania Agadir, S. Essallami 33' for Kawkab Marrakech, A. Maamouri 63' for Kawkab Marrakech, I. Riahi (penalty) 68' for Hassania Agadir, S. Benyachou 85' for Hassania Agadir.
How the call on Kawkab Marrakech v Hassania Agadir has moved
First published on 10 Sep at 38% / 31% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 39% / 33% / 28%: the biggest move is Hassania Agadir's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Kawkab Marrakech win39%▲ +1
- Draw33%▲ +2
- Hassania Agadir win28%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.