Radnik Bijeljina vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Premijer Liga prediction & result
Final score: Radnik Bijeljina 3-1 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Radnik Bijeljina, 27% draw, 39% Zeljeznicar Sarajevo — fair odds of 2.94, 3.70 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Zeljeznicar Sarajevo at 39% here. Across 3,740 settled matches (as of 15 October 2026), 2,920 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1D. Markovic
- 6F. Agyemang
- 11O. Klenpic
- 14A. Markovic
- 22M. Sukilovic
- 26D. Cosic
- 29D. Teodorovic
- 32M. Andacic
- 66M. Stevanovic
- 70A. Konate
- 77M. Ghorzi
- 27V. Kjosevski
- 5B. Meyapya
- 7I. Boonen
- 10E. Crnko
- 16B. Dimitric
- 17L. Cveticanin
- 18I. Spaic
- 19H. Karjasevic
- 20V. Bradonjic
- 1T. Abdulahovic
- 30M. Karamarko
- 5A. Ibrisimovic
- 4M. Karamarko
- 32S. Jovanovic
- 6A. Pejic
- 88S. Radovac
- 90R. Piloto
- 10M. Sosic
- 49G. Cunha
- 19A. Kulis
- 99A. Cosic
- 27D. Milosevic
- 29M. Huskovic
- 25D. Kelmendi
- 22A. Gojak
- 24A. Rascic
- 7Y. Dabo
- 20G. Troupee
- 28J. Freeman
Form going into Radnik Bijeljina vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Radnik Bijeljina
- D4-4away to BSK Banja Luka19 September 2026
- L2-3away to Čelik11 September 2026
- L1-2Sloga Doboj5 September 2026
- D1-1away to Velež2 September 2026
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
- D1-1Čelik18 September 2026
- D1-1away to Sloga Doboj13 September 2026
- W2-0FK Sarajevo9 September 2026
- W3-1Velež6 September 2026
What these results say
- Radnik Bijeljina did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Radnik Bijeljina scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Radnik Bijeljina conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Zeljeznicar Sarajevo went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Zeljeznicar Sarajevo scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Zeljeznicar Sarajevo conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premijer Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Radnik Bijeljina | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 7 |
| 4 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Radnik Bijeljina vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
- 11 October 2026Radnik Bijeljina 3–1 Zeljeznicar SarajevoPremijer Liga
- 11 April 2026Radnik Bijeljina 0–3 Zeljeznicar SarajevoPremijer Liga
- 13 December 2025Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 0–0 Radnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga
- 5 October 2025Radnik Bijeljina 1–0 Zeljeznicar SarajevoPremijer Liga
- 27 July 2025Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1–1 Radnik BijeljinaPremijer Liga
- 31 May 2025Radnik Bijeljina 1–2 Zeljeznicar SarajevoPremijer Liga
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.