Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-3 Al-Ettifaq.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Al-Qadisiyah FC, 26% draw, 21% Al-Ettifaq — fair odds of 1.89, 3.85 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Saudi Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al-Qadisiyah FC at 53% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1K. CasteelsG
- 4J. ThakriD
- 6N. FernandezD
- 17G. AlvarezD
- 2M. Abu Al ShamatM
- 8N. NandezM
- 14T. ReijndersM
- 10M. Al JuwayrM
- 22C. Bonsu BaahM
- 33J. QuinonesF
- 32M. ReteguiF
- 28A. Al KassarG
- 12Y. Al ShahraniD
- 7T. Al AmmarM
- 15M. Al QahtaniF
- 18A. Al JaberM
- 27E. HoussaM
- 9A. Al SalemF
- 19H. AsiriF
- 46A. Al Aliwa
- 92T. Ba Al JawshG
- 61R. Al OtaibiD
- 4J. HendryD
- 70A. A. KhateebD
- 13M. Al AlaeliD
- 80R. MessiM
- 42A. KanteM
- 11O. DudaM
- 7K. Al GhannamM
- 58Y. Al ShammariF
- 43B. CelinaF
- 23Hawswi
- 78M. H. TambaktiD
- 3A. MaduD
- 33M. Al OlayanD
- 87M. Al SibyaniD
- 10A. MedranM
- 77A. HawsawiM
- 9M. DembeleF
- 17J. LarssonF
Form going into Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq
Al-Qadisiyah FC
All competitions we cover
- W3-2Al-Ahli Jeddah8 September 2026
- W2-0away to Al Diriyah3 September 2026
- W3-1Al-Faisaly FC30 August 2026
Al-Ettifaq
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Al-Faisaly FC8 September 2026
- W1-0away to Abha4 September 2026
- L0-3Al Diriyah29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 12 | +20 | 28 |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Ettifaq
Al-Qadisiyah FC
GoalsAssists
- T. Reijnders83
- M. Retegui72
- J. Quiñones65
Al-Ettifaq
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Ettifaq drew 3–3. The model had leaned towards a win for Al-Qadisiyah FC at 53% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: J. Quinones 12' for Al-Qadisiyah FC, M. Retegui 15' for Al-Qadisiyah FC, B. Celina 26' for Al-Ettifaq, A. Medran 64' for Al-Ettifaq, M. Al Qahtani 81' for Al-Qadisiyah FC, J. Larsson 85' for Al-Ettifaq. On expected goals it finished 2.53–0.85.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.