Al-Fayha
vs
Al-Faisaly FC
Pro League prediction
Our model says: Al-Fayha 2–1 Al-Faisaly FC
The model makes it 38% Al-Fayha, 28% draw, 34% Al-Faisaly FC — fair odds of 2.63, 3.57 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Al-Fayha 1.43, Al-Faisaly FC 1.34.
Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 52%, under 2.5: 48%.
Model confidence: Low.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Al-Fayha are 14th on 7 points from 9 games; Al-Faisaly FC are 15th on 6 points from 8 games — Pro League.
- Al-Fayha have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat away to Al Khaleej Saihat.
- Al-Faisaly FC have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-2 win at home to Al Kholood.
- Last 6 meetings: Al-Faisaly FC 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 10 February 2022, ended Al-Fayha 0–0 Al-Faisaly FC.
More Saudi Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al-Fayha at 38% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 3,180 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC
Al-Fayha
- L0-2away to Al Khaleej Saihat15 October 2026
- D1-1Al Riyadh11 October 2026
- D0-0away to Al Shabab12 September 2026
- L1-2away to Al-Ittihad8 September 2026
- D2-2Al Kholood3 September 2026
Al-Faisaly FC
- W3-2Al Kholood15 October 2026
- L1-3Al-Ittihad11 September 2026
- D0-0away to Al-Ettifaq8 September 2026
- D0-0Al-Hazm5 September 2026
- L1-3away to Al-Qadisiyah FC30 August 2026
What these results say
- Al-Fayha did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Al-Fayha conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Al-Faisaly FC failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Al-Fayha | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Al-Fayha
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 35% today
Al-Faisaly FC
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 21% today
From our Pro League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC
- 10 February 2022Al-Fayha 0–0 Al-Faisaly FCPro League
- 16 September 2021Al-Faisaly FC 2–1 Al-FayhaPro League
- 1 February 2020Al-Fayha 2–1 Al-Faisaly FCPro League
- 24 August 2019Al-Faisaly FC 0–0 Al-FayhaPro League
- 20 April 2019Al-Fayha 3–4 Al-Faisaly FCPro League
- 27 December 2018Al-Faisaly FC 1–0 Al-FayhaPro League
Leading scorers: Al-Fayha and Al-Faisaly FC
Al-Fayha
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Al-Faisaly FC
GoalsAssists
- Alexandre Mendy41
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Al-Fayha carry a model rating of 6.41 against 6.43 for Al-Faisaly FC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.43 goals for Al-Fayha and 1.34 for Al-Faisaly FC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Al-Fayha rate 0.59 in attack and 1.42 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Al-Faisaly FC rate 0.64 and 1.48.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,962 correct results out of 4,088 settled predictions (48%), with 410 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Al-Fayha the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.43 expected goals for Al-Fayha against 1.34 for Al-Faisaly FC. Al-Fayha's attack/defence rating is 0.59/1.42 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.64/1.48 for Al-Faisaly FC.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Al-Fayha at home · Al-Faisaly FC away
League matches only, Pro League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Pro League matches this season: Al-Fayha 9, Al-Faisaly FC 8.
Al-Faisaly FC score most often in the 46–60 minute window (3 goals); Al-Fayha have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Al-Fayha
- at Al-Qadisiyah FC5 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 12%
- vs Al-Fateh20 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 40%
- at Al Diriyah26 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 26%
Al-Faisaly FC
- vs Al Diriyah5 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 32%
- at Al-Ahli Jeddah20 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 13%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.