2 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

Abu Qair Semad vs Al Ittihad Alexandria Premier League prediction & result

Alexandria Stadium, Alexandria
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Abu Qair Semad 0-2 Al Ittihad Alexandria.

Before kick-off the model made it 51% Abu Qair Semad, 27% draw, 22% Al Ittihad Alexandria — fair odds of 1.96, 3.70 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Abu Qair Semad at 51% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Abu Qair Semad0%Draw6%Al Ittihad Alexandria94%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Mohamed Alaa
33'
46'
🔁K. Semakulaout: M. Emad
46'
🔁J. Arumalaout: N. Alaa
🔁R. Miladout: Ocha
62'
🔁M. Shehataout: A. Hussein
62'
🔁S. Shikaout: F. Akem
62'
68'
⚽H. Hassan
69'
Hossam Hassan
🔁Y. Hamdiout: E. Hamdi
75'
75'
🔁M. Tonyout: A. Atef
75'
🔁P. Phiriout: Y. Wahid
🔁I. Ashrafout: A. Dahesh
76'
84'
🔁H. Hassanout: J. Ebuka
90'
⚽S. Isaacassist: J. Ebuka

Match stats — Abu Qair Semad vs Al Ittihad Alexandria

45%Possession55%
10Shots12
2On target5
5Corners9
0.77xG1.09

Goals against chances

Abu Qair Semad0 from 0.77 xGless than the chances were worth
Al Ittihad Alexandria2 from 1.09 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Abu Qair Semad
  • 1M. GeneshG
  • 6M. AlaaD
  • 20A. AwadD
  • 3G. KamelD
  • 12I. AshrafD
  • 14R. MiladM
  • 11M. ShehataM
  • 30Y. HamdiM
  • 15O. IbrahimM
  • 21S. ShikaM
  • 9M. Abou GoudaF
Substitutes
  • 25M. Shika
  • 27A. DaheshD
  • 4M. Gomaa
  • 24A. El GazarD
  • 8E. HamdiM
  • 17E. Fathi
  • 7OchaM
  • 29A. HusseinF
  • 23F. AkemF
Al Ittihad Alexandria 4-2-3-1
  • 1S. Soliman
  • 24M. AwadD
  • 7M. Mostafa
  • 5M. IbrahimD
  • 30K. MosaadD
  • 23S. IsaacM
  • 44K. SemakulaM
  • 35P. PhiriM
  • 8M. TonyM
  • 80J. ArumalaM
  • 10H. HassanF
Substitutes
  • 31A. El GabryG
  • 4I. AbdellahD
  • 12M. SherifD
  • 14M. FakhriM
  • 25M. EmadM
  • 37A. AtefM
  • 11Y. WahidF
  • 18J. EbukaF
  • 22N. AlaaM
Coach: Hamza El Gamal

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
19Abu Qair Semad7115311-84
5Al Ittihad Alexandria741296+313

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Abu Qair Semad and Al Ittihad Alexandria

Abu Qair Semad

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.

Al Ittihad Alexandria

GoalsAssists

  • Hossam Hassan40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Al Ittihad Alexandria won 2–0 at Abu Qair Semad. The model had leaned towards a win for Abu Qair Semad at 51% and given a win for Al Ittihad Alexandria 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: H. Hassan 68' for Al Ittihad Alexandria, S. Isaac 90' for Al Ittihad Alexandria. On expected goals it finished 0.77–1.09.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.