League Tables

Major League Soccer

The table as it stands, and where the model expects it to finish. Projections are final positions, not qualification or relegation. How the model works.

Western Conference

  1. Vancouver Whitecaps — 46 points from 24 played (14 won, 4 drawn, 6 lost), 53 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference +30. Form, oldest first: W W L W L.
  2. Houston Dynamo — 43 points from 25 played (13 won, 4 drawn, 8 lost), 32 scored, 28 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: L D D W L.
  3. FC Dallas — 43 points from 25 played (12 won, 7 drawn, 6 lost), 49 scored, 42 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: L D W W W.
  4. San Jose Earthquakes — 41 points from 25 played (12 won, 5 drawn, 8 lost), 44 scored, 36 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: L D D W W.
  5. St. Louis City — 41 points from 25 played (11 won, 8 drawn, 6 lost), 42 scored, 35 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: W D W D W.
  6. Los Angeles FC — 40 points from 26 played (11 won, 7 drawn, 8 lost), 41 scored, 27 conceded, goal difference +14. Form, oldest first: D D D W L.
  7. Colorado Rapids — 35 points from 25 played (11 won, 2 drawn, 12 lost), 33 scored, 32 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: L W L D W.
  8. Portland Timbers — 32 points from 25 played (9 won, 5 drawn, 11 lost), 47 scored, 47 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: D L W D L.
  9. San Diego — 30 points from 25 played (8 won, 6 drawn, 11 lost), 42 scored, 42 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: W W L L L.
  10. Los Angeles Galaxy — 30 points from 26 played (7 won, 9 drawn, 10 lost), 31 scored, 40 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: D L W L D.
  11. Real Salt Lake — 29 points from 24 played (8 won, 5 drawn, 11 lost), 37 scored, 39 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L L D L L.
  12. Minnesota United FC — 29 points from 25 played (7 won, 8 drawn, 10 lost), 37 scored, 43 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: W D L L L.
  13. Austin — 29 points from 25 played (7 won, 8 drawn, 10 lost), 32 scored, 44 conceded, goal difference -12. Form, oldest first: D W D D W.
  14. Seattle Sounders — 28 points from 23 played (7 won, 7 drawn, 9 lost), 25 scored, 30 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: L D D D D.
  15. Sporting Kansas City — 18 points from 24 played (5 won, 3 drawn, 16 lost), 26 scored, 59 conceded, goal difference -33. Form, oldest first: D L L L W.

Eastern Conference

  1. Nashville SC — 54 points from 25 played (16 won, 6 drawn, 3 lost), 50 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference +29. Form, oldest first: W W D L D.
  2. Inter Miami — 45 points from 25 played (12 won, 9 drawn, 4 lost), 61 scored, 46 conceded, goal difference +15. Form, oldest first: L W D D D.
  3. New England Revolution — 43 points from 25 played (13 won, 4 drawn, 8 lost), 41 scored, 31 conceded, goal difference +10. Form, oldest first: D W L W W.
  4. Charlotte — 40 points from 25 played (11 won, 7 drawn, 7 lost), 45 scored, 36 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: W W D W D.
  5. Chicago Fire — 39 points from 24 played (11 won, 6 drawn, 7 lost), 45 scored, 35 conceded, goal difference +10. Form, oldest first: D D D D L.
  6. Orlando City SC — 34 points from 25 played (10 won, 4 drawn, 11 lost), 44 scored, 56 conceded, goal difference -12. Form, oldest first: W D W W W.
  7. Philadelphia Union — 33 points from 25 played (9 won, 6 drawn, 10 lost), 46 scored, 39 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: D W W W W.
  8. New York City FC — 32 points from 25 played (8 won, 8 drawn, 9 lost), 39 scored, 33 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: D D D L W.
  9. FC Cincinnati — 32 points from 24 played (8 won, 8 drawn, 8 lost), 52 scored, 59 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: W D L L D.
  10. New York Red Bulls — 30 points from 25 played (8 won, 6 drawn, 11 lost), 33 scored, 48 conceded, goal difference -15. Form, oldest first: D L D L W.
  11. DC United — 29 points from 24 played (6 won, 11 drawn, 7 lost), 30 scored, 37 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: L L D W D.
  12. Toronto FC — 29 points from 25 played (6 won, 11 drawn, 8 lost), 38 scored, 46 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: W D D W L.
  13. Columbus Crew — 23 points from 25 played (6 won, 5 drawn, 14 lost), 35 scored, 42 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: L L W L L.
  14. Atlanta United FC — 23 points from 25 played (6 won, 5 drawn, 14 lost), 29 scored, 43 conceded, goal difference -14. Form, oldest first: W L D L D.
  15. CF Montreal — 21 points from 25 played (5 won, 6 drawn, 14 lost), 31 scored, 51 conceded, goal difference -20. Form, oldest first: D L L L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-09-13, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 30 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

  • Austin — bottom-three risk down 24.9, to 44.8%.
  • San Diego — bottom-three risk up 16.2, to 25.3%.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps — chance of finishing top down 14.5, to 66%.
  • Houston Dynamo — chance of finishing top up 5.3, to 10.2%.
  • FC Dallas — chance of finishing top up 4.8, to 13.8%.

Season projection

Every one of the 80 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the Western Conference only. The Western Conference is not the end of the competition: Round of 32, Round of 16, Quarter-finals, and on from there follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-09-13, the last update whose numbers changed.

Western Conference

  1. Vancouver Whitecaps — projected to finish on 61.7 points, from 46 after 24 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 66% (down 14.5), finishes top four 97.6%, bottom three 0%.
  2. FC Dallas — projected to finish on 57.2 points, from 43 after 25 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 13.8% (up 4.8), finishes top four 79.8%, bottom three 0%.
  3. Houston Dynamo — projected to finish on 56.6 points, from 43 after 25 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 10.2% (up 5.3), finishes top four 73.5%, bottom three 0%.
  4. St. Louis City — projected to finish on 54.4 points, from 41 after 25 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 4.7% (up 1.6), finishes top four 55.6%, bottom three 0%.
  5. San Jose Earthquakes — projected to finish on 54.1 points, from 41 after 25 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 3.9% (up 2.1), finishes top four 52.4%, bottom three 0%.
  6. Los Angeles FC — projected to finish on 51.8 points, from 40 after 26 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 1.1% (up 0.4), finishes top four 31.7%, bottom three 0%.
  7. Colorado Rapids — projected to finish on 47.4 points, from 35 after 25 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 0.2% (up 0.2), finishes top four 5.8%, bottom three 2.2%.
  8. Portland Timbers — projected to finish on 44.9 points, from 32 after 25 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 0%, finishes top four 2%, bottom three 7.7%.
  9. Seattle Sounders — projected to finish on 43 points, from 28 after 23 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 0%, finishes top four 0.6%, bottom three 20.9%.
  10. Real Salt Lake — projected to finish on 42.7 points, from 29 after 24 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 0%, finishes top four 0.7%, bottom three 20.5%.
  11. San Diego — projected to finish on 41.8 points, from 30 after 25 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 0%, finishes top four 0.2%, bottom three 25.3%.
  12. Minnesota United FC — projected to finish on 41.2 points, from 29 after 25 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 0%, finishes top four 0.2%, bottom three 32.1%.
  13. Austin — projected to finish on 40.5 points, from 29 after 25 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 44.8%.
  14. Los Angeles Galaxy — projected to finish on 40.2 points, from 30 after 26 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 46.9%.
  15. Sporting Kansas City — projected to finish on 28.6 points, from 18 after 24 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 99.6%.

Eastern Conference

  1. Nashville SC — projected to finish on 70 points, from 54 after 25 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 94.6% (down 0.3), finishes top four 100%, bottom three 0%.
  2. Inter Miami — projected to finish on 61.2 points, from 45 after 25 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 4.8% (up 0.2), finishes top four 98.3%, bottom three 0%.
  3. New England Revolution — projected to finish on 56.4 points, from 43 after 25 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 0.4% (up 0.3), finishes top four 82.4%, bottom three 0%.
  4. Chicago Fire — projected to finish on 53.1 points, from 39 after 24 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 0.2% (down 0.2), finishes top four 53.5%, bottom three 0%.
  5. Charlotte — projected to finish on 52.7 points, from 40 after 25 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 0.1% (up 0.1), finishes top four 49.8%, bottom three 0%.
  6. Philadelphia Union — projected to finish on 46 points, from 33 after 25 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 0%, finishes top four 5.8%, bottom three 0.7%.
  7. FC Cincinnati — projected to finish on 45.5 points, from 32 after 24 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 0%, finishes top four 3.2%, bottom three 2%.
  8. New York City FC — projected to finish on 45.1 points, from 32 after 25 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 0%, finishes top four 3.6%, bottom three 1.6%.
  9. Orlando City SC — projected to finish on 44.9 points, from 34 after 25 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 0%, finishes top four 2.8%, bottom three 2.1%.
  10. DC United — projected to finish on 41.2 points, from 29 after 24 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 0%, finishes top four 0.3%, bottom three 13.4%.
  11. Toronto FC — projected to finish on 40.8 points, from 29 after 25 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 15.4%.
  12. New York Red Bulls — projected to finish on 40.4 points, from 30 after 25 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 18.5%.
  13. Columbus Crew — projected to finish on 34.3 points, from 23 after 25 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 74.9%.
  14. Atlanta United FC — projected to finish on 34.1 points, from 23 after 25 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 78.6%.
  15. CF Montreal — projected to finish on 31.6 points, from 21 after 25 played. Finishes top of the Western Conference 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 92.9%.

Top scorers

  1. L. Messi (Inter Miami) — 19 goals, 11 assists.
  2. P. Musa (FC Dallas) — 18 goals, 5 assists.
  3. B. White (Vancouver Whitecaps) — 15 goals, 2 assists.
  4. N. Fernández Mercau (New York City FC) — 15 goals, 4 assists.
  5. S. Surridge (Nashville SC) — 15 goals.
  6. T. Baribo (DC United) — 14 goals.
  7. Guilherme (Houston Dynamo) — 13 goals, 6 assists.
  8. D. Bouanga (Los Angeles FC) — 13 goals, 5 assists.
  9. K. Denkey (FC Cincinnati) — 13 goals, 2 assists.
  10. K. Yeboah (Minnesota United FC) — 13 goals, 2 assists.
  11. H. Cuypers (Chicago Fire) — 13 goals.
  12. P. Owusu (CF Montreal) — 13 goals, 6 assists.
  13. P. Judd (San Jose Earthquakes) — 12 goals, 2 assists.
  14. Evander (FC Cincinnati) — 12 goals, 8 assists.
  15. M. Iloski (Philadelphia Union) — 12 goals, 2 assists.
  16. M. Ingvartsen (San Diego) — 11 goals, 3 assists.
  17. Pep Biel (Charlotte) — 11 goals, 6 assists.
  18. L. Suárez (Inter Miami) — 11 goals, 2 assists.
  19. M. Ojeda (Orlando City SC) — 11 goals, 1 assist.
  20. H. Mukhtar (Nashville SC) — 10 goals, 6 assists.

Other competitions

All 51 competitions we cover.