Premier Division

1. Shamrock Rovers — 68 points from 35 played (20 won, 8 drawn, 7 lost), 58 scored, 35 conceded, goal difference +23. Form, oldest first: W W W L W.
2. Bohemians — 62 points from 35 played (18 won, 8 drawn, 9 lost), 60 scored, 42 conceded, goal difference +18. Form, oldest first: W W L W L.
3. St Patrick's Athletic — 60 points from 35 played (17 won, 9 drawn, 9 lost), 53 scored, 28 conceded, goal difference +25. Form, oldest first: W W L L D.
4. Shelbourne — 49 points from 35 played (12 won, 13 drawn, 10 lost), 50 scored, 47 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W D W W W.
5. Derry City — 47 points from 35 played (11 won, 14 drawn, 10 lost), 48 scored, 45 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: D W L W W.
6. Galway United — 42 points from 35 played (10 won, 12 drawn, 13 lost), 46 scored, 51 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: L D W L D.
7. Dundalk — 42 points from 35 played (10 won, 12 drawn, 13 lost), 52 scored, 58 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: L L L D L.
8. Waterford — 40 points from 35 played (9 won, 13 drawn, 13 lost), 51 scored, 59 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: D L L W W.
9. Drogheda United — 37 points from 35 played (9 won, 10 drawn, 16 lost), 42 scored, 57 conceded, goal difference -15. Form, oldest first: W L L W L.
10. Sligo Rovers — 24 points from 35 played (5 won, 9 drawn, 21 lost), 26 scored, 64 conceded, goal difference -38. Form, oldest first: L L L D L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-10-23, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 7 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Drogheda United — bottom-three risk up 9.9, to 100%.
• Galway United — bottom-three risk down 8.7, to 7%.
• Shamrock Rovers — chance of finishing top up 8.3, to 100%.
• Waterford — bottom-three risk down 8.3, to 79.1%.
• Bohemians — chance of finishing top down 7.8, to 0%.

Season projection

Every one of the 5 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-10-23, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Shamrock Rovers — projected to finish on 69.8 points, from 68 after 35 played. Finishes top of the regular season 100% (up 8.3), finishes top four 100%, bottom one 0%.
2. Bohemians — projected to finish on 63 points, from 62 after 35 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 7.8), finishes top four 100%, bottom one 0%.
3. St Patrick's Athletic — projected to finish on 61.7 points, from 60 after 35 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.5), finishes top four 100%, bottom one 0%.
4. Shelbourne — projected to finish on 50.8 points, from 49 after 35 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 72.4%, bottom one 0%.
5. Derry City — projected to finish on 48.9 points, from 47 after 35 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 27.6%, bottom one 0%.
6. Galway United — projected to finish on 43.3 points, from 42 after 35 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom one 0%.
7. Dundalk — projected to finish on 43 points, from 42 after 35 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom one 0%.
8. Waterford — projected to finish on 41 points, from 40 after 35 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom one 0%.
9. Drogheda United — projected to finish on 38.4 points, from 37 after 35 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom one 0%.
10. Sligo Rovers — projected to finish on 24.8 points, from 24 after 35 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom one 100%.

Top scorers

1. T. Lonergan (Waterford) — 15 goals, 6 assists.
2. P. Amond (Waterford) — 13 goals, 1 assist.
3. C. Whelan (Bohemians) — 13 goals, 6 assists.
4. R. Tierney (Bohemians) — 11 goals, 3 assists.
5. M. Duffy (Derry City) — 11 goals, 5 assists.
6. D. Horgan (Dundalk) — 11 goals, 10 assists.
7. J. McGovern (Shamrock Rovers) — 10 goals, 7 assists.
8. R. Edmondson (St Patrick's Athletic) — 10 goals, 1 assist.
9. A. Keena (St Patrick's Athletic) — 10 goals, 4 assists.
10. M. Doyle (Drogheda United) — 9 goals.
11. K. Twardek (Galway United) — 8 goals, 6 assists.
12. D. Kelly (Shelbourne) — 8 goals, 4 assists.
13. J. Martin (Shelbourne) — 8 goals, 2 assists.
14. G. Burke (Shamrock Rovers) — 8 goals, 4 assists.
15. H. Wood (Shelbourne) — 8 goals, 5 assists.
16. J. Clarke (Derry City) — 7 goals, 3 assists.
17. G. Arubi (Dundalk) — 7 goals, 3 assists.
18. J. Keohane (Galway United) — 7 goals, 3 assists.
19. K. Leavy (St Patrick's Athletic) — 6 goals, 3 assists.
20. C. Kavanagh (Sligo Rovers) — 6 goals, 2 assists.