Crystal Palace
vs
Hull City
Premier League prediction
Our model says: Crystal Palace 0–1 Hull City
The model makes it 29% Crystal Palace, 28% draw, 43% Hull City — fair odds of 3.45, 3.57 and 2.33.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Crystal Palace 1.14, Hull City 1.50.
Both teams to score: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, under 2.5: 51%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,952 settled matches.
Edge to Hull City: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Crystal Palace's rating is built from 48 Premier League matches and Hull City's from 10, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 860 matches.
Key facts
- Crystal Palace are bottom on 7 points from 10 games; Hull City are 13th on 11 points from 10 games — Premier League.
- Crystal Palace are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 1-3 defeat at home to Liverpool.
- Hull City have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to Arsenal.
- Last 6 meetings: Crystal Palace 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 14 May 2017, ended Crystal Palace 4–0 Hull City.
More Premier League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Crystal Palace vs Hull City
Has the model earned this number?
Hull City at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Crystal Palace vs Hull City
Crystal Palace
Premier League
- L1-3Liverpool8 November 2026
- L0-2away to Tottenham31 October 2026
- L0-2Newcastle25 October 2026
- L0-5away to Brighton18 October 2026
- W3-1Nottingham Forest11 October 2026
Hull City
Premier League
- L0-1away to Arsenal7 November 2026
- D2-2Ipswich31 October 2026
- D1-1Brentford25 October 2026
- L0-1away to Fulham17 October 2026
- D2-2Everton11 October 2026
What these results say
- Crystal Palace conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Crystal Palace failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Hull City did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Hull City conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 7 |
| 13 | Hull City | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Crystal Palace vs Hull City
Crystal Palace and Hull City have met 6 times in the records we hold, Crystal Palace has won 3 of them to Hull City's 2, with 1 drawn.
The record
Crystal Palace won the last one 4–0 on 14 May 2017.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 |
| Hull City | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
Between them these 6 meetings produced 16 goals, an average of 2.67 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 14 May 2017
Premier LeagueCrystal Palace 4–0 Hull City - 10 Dec 2016
Premier LeagueHull City 3–3 Crystal Palace - 25 Apr 2015
Premier LeagueCrystal Palace 0–2 Hull City - 4 Oct 2014
Premier LeagueHull City 2–0 Crystal Palace - 28 Jan 2014
Premier LeagueCrystal Palace 1–0 Hull City - 23 Nov 2013
Premier LeagueHull City 0–1 Crystal Palace
How the model rates them now
On the current ratings, the two attacks rate almost level, and Hull City concede 33% fewer than Crystal Palace. How the ratings are derived.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 0.84 | 1.27 |
| Hull City | 0.86 | 0.85 |
Leading scorers: Crystal Palace and Hull City
Crystal Palace
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Hull City
GoalsAssists
- M. Belloumi32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Hull City the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.14 expected goals for Crystal Palace against 1.50 for Hull City. Crystal Palace's attack/defence rating is 0.84/1.27 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.86/0.85 for Hull City.
How the model reaches 43% for Hull City to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Hull City to win. Then home advantage takes away 4 points, Crystal Palace's ratings add 6 points and Hull City's ratings add 5 points, which lands on the published 43%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage32%−4
- Crystal Palace's ratings38%+6
- Hull City's ratings43%+5
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Crystal Palace at home · Hull City away
League matches only, Premier League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
Crystal PalaceHull City
Crystal Palace are 20th after 10 Premier League matches (between 12th and 20th so far); Hull City are 13th after 10 (between 2nd and 12th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Premier League matches this season: Crystal Palace 10, Hull City 10.
Crystal Palace score most often in the 31–45 minute window (3 goals); Hull City have let in 1 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Crystal Palace
- at Chelsea2 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 19%
- at Aston Villa5 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 15%
- at Jagiellonia10 Dec · UEFA Europa Leaguewin 27%
Hull City
- vs Nottingham Forest2 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 37%
- at Bournemouth5 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 26%
- vs Tottenham14 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 40%
- at Manchester City19 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 17%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.