Central Cordoba de Santiago
vs
Lanus
Liga Profesional Argentina prediction
Our model says: Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–1 Lanus
The model makes it 27% Central Cordoba de Santiago, 32% draw, 41% Lanus — fair odds of 3.70, 3.13 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1 (15%).
Expected goals: Central Cordoba de Santiago 0.83, Lanus 1.16.
Both teams to score: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%, under 2.5: 68%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 45% of the time, over 2,224 settled matches.
One-sided: Lanus are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Match centre: line-ups, live score and match stats →
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 25 October 2026. Central Cordoba de Santiago's rating is built from 63 Liga Profesional Argentina matches and Lanus's from 65, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 1,345 matches.
Key facts
- Central Cordoba de Santiago are 14th on 10 points from 13 games; Lanus are 4th on 24 points from 14 games — Liga Profesional Argentina, Clausura - Group A.
- Central Cordoba de Santiago have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Newell's Old Boys.
- Lanus are unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 won), most recently a 1-1 draw away to Banfield.
- Last 6 meetings: Central Cordoba de Santiago 2 wins to 1, 3 draws; the most recent, 24 April 2026, ended Lanus 0–0 Central Cordoba de Santiago.
More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Lanus
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Lanus at 41% here. Across 4,776 settled matches (as of 25 October 2026), 2,217 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Lanus
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Liga Profesional Argentina
- L1-2away to Newell's Old Boys19 October 2026
- D2-2Estudiantes La Plata10 October 2026
- D1-1away to Deportivo Riestra5 October 2026
- D2-2Defensa Y Justicia18 September 2026
- L1-3away to Boca Juniors12 September 2026
Lanus
Liga Profesional Argentina
- D1-1away to Banfield24 October 2026
- W1-0away to Platense17 October 2026
- W2-0Velez Sarsfield12 October 2026
- D0-0away to Newell's Old Boys3 October 2026
- W2-1Estudiantes La Plata22 September 2026
What these results say
- Central Cordoba de Santiago did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Central Cordoba de Santiago scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Central Cordoba de Santiago conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Lanus went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Lanus scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Lanus had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
| 4 | Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Lanus
Central Cordoba de Santiago and Lanus have met 6 times in the records we hold, Central Cordoba de Santiago has won 2 of them to Lanus's 1, with 3 drawn.
The record
They drew 0–0 at Lanus on 24 Apr 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Cordoba de Santiago | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Lanus | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Between them these 6 meetings produced 5 goals, an average of 0.83 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 24 Apr 2026
Liga Profesional ArgentinaLanus 0–0 Central Cordoba de Santiago - 22 Aug 2025
CONMEBOL SudamericanaLanus 1–0 Central Cordoba de Santiago - 15 Aug 2025
CONMEBOL SudamericanaCentral Cordoba de Santiago 1–0 Lanus - 17 Aug 2024
Liga Profesional ArgentinaLanus 1–1 Central Cordoba de Santiago - 7 Mar 2024
Copa de la Liga ProfesionalLanus 0–1 Central Cordoba de Santiago - 16 Oct 2023
Copa de la Liga ProfesionalCentral Cordoba de Santiago 0–0 Lanus
How the model rates them now
Attack and defence are multipliers on an average side: above 1.00 in attack means the club scores more than the average team in its competition, and below 1.00 in defence means it concedes fewer. The methodology sets out how they are derived, including where the model is known to be wrong.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| Central Cordoba de Santiago | 0.70 | 1.49 |
| Lanus | 0.84 | 0.96 |
Leading scorers: Central Cordoba de Santiago and Lanus
Central Cordoba de Santiago
GoalsAssists
- M. Santos92
Lanus
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Central Cordoba de Santiago carry a model rating of 6.47 against 6.79 for Lanus. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects a tight, low-scoring game
Under the hood the model expects 0.83 goals for Central Cordoba de Santiago and 1.16 for Lanus. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Central Cordoba de Santiago rate 0.70 in attack and 1.49 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Lanus rate 0.84 and 0.96.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Central Cordoba de Santiago a 0% chance of the title and Lanus 0.6%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,299 correct results out of 4,800 settled predictions (48%), with 474 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Lanus the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.83 expected goals for Central Cordoba de Santiago against 1.16 for Lanus. Central Cordoba de Santiago's attack/defence rating is 0.7/1.49 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.84/0.96 for Lanus.
How the model reaches 41% for Lanus to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 34% for Lanus to win. Then home advantage takes away 6 points, Central Cordoba de Santiago's ratings add 18 points and Lanus's ratings take away 5 points, which lands on the published 41%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground34%
- Home advantage28%−6
- Central Cordoba de Santiago's ratings46%+18
- Lanus's ratings41%−5
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Central Cordoba de Santiago at home · Lanus away
League matches only, Liga Profesional Argentina, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga Profesional Argentina matches this season: Central Cordoba de Santiago 29, Lanus 30.
Lanus score most often in the 61–75 minute window (10 goals); Central Cordoba de Santiago have let in 5 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.