The model on 19 September: 53 out of 136
Of the 136 matches our model predicted before kick-off on Saturday 19 September 2026, it called the result of 53 (39%). It named the exact scoreline 12 times. Across all 2,672 matches it has predicted since 19 July, the rate is 47%.
By competition
- Championship: 3 of 9
- Ligat Ha'al: 4 of 6
- Bundesliga (Germany): 3 of 5
- Liga Profesional Argentina: 0 of 5
- Ligue 1: 5 of 5
- Premier League: 3 of 5
- Premiership: 1 of 5
- Segunda División: 3 of 5
- 30 other competitions: 31 of 91
The most confident misses
The predictions it was surest about and got wrong:
- Arda Kardzhali 1-1 Cherno More Varna: the model had Arda Kardzhali at 57%.
- Kisvarda FC 0-1 Paks: the model had Kisvarda FC at 54%.
- IF Brommapojkarna 0-1 IFK Goteborg: the model had IF Brommapojkarna at 53%.
Exact scorelines
- Vasteras SK FK 2-0 Malmo FF: the exact score it named, with Vasteras SK FK at 64%.
- Paris FC 2-1 Strasbourg: the exact score it named, with Paris FC at 50%.
- Alverca 1-0 Rio Ave: the exact score it named, with Alverca at 49%.
How this is counted
A result counts as called when the outcome the model rated most likely (home win, draw or away win) is the one that happened. Every prediction here was published and logged before kick-off, and the log is public: the track record breaks it down by confidence, by competition and by club. How the probabilities are produced, including where the model is known to be wrong, is in the methodology.