The model rates their attack at 1.73× the league average and their defence at 0.55× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — the model rates them above average at both ends. Next they travel to England in the UEFA Nations League on 26 September 2026, a match the model gives them 39%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Spain vs England
Spain travel to England on 26 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The model makes it 39% Spain, 29% draw and 32% England, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2. It projects 1.56 expected goals for Spain against 1.30. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Full preview and model analysis for Spain vs England