The model rates their attack at 1.38× the league average and their defence at 0.94× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better. Next they host Germany in the UEFA Nations League on 24 September 2026, a match the model gives them 31%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Attacking strength1.38× league avg
Defensive solidity0.94× goals conceded
Next match: Netherlands vs Germany
Netherlands host Germany on 24 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The model makes it 31% Netherlands, 28% draw and 41% Germany, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2. It projects 1.32 expected goals for Netherlands against 1.69. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Full preview and model analysis for Netherlands vs Germany