ZOB Ahan
vs
Chadormalu SC
Persian Gulf Pro League prediction
Our model says: ZOB Ahan 1–0 Chadormalu SC
The model makes it 38% ZOB Ahan, 29% draw, 33% Chadormalu SC — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: ZOB Ahan 1.34, Chadormalu SC 1.20.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 47%, under 2.5: 53%.
Model confidence: Low.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- ZOB Ahan are 14th on 7 points from 8 games; Chadormalu SC are 11th on 9 points from 8 games — Persian Gulf Pro League.
- ZOB Ahan are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to Sepahan FC.
- Chadormalu SC are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 2-2 draw at home to Kheybar Khorramabad.
- Last 4 meetings: Chadormalu SC 3 wins to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 4 December 2025, ended Chadormalu SC 0–0 ZOB Ahan.
More Persian Gulf Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: ZOB Ahan vs Chadormalu SC
Has the model earned this number?
It puts ZOB Ahan at 38% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into ZOB Ahan vs Chadormalu SC
ZOB Ahan
- L1-2Sepahan FC13 October 2026
- D1-1away to Nassaji Mazandaran8 October 2026
- L0-2away to Persepolis FC7 September 2026
- W1-0Paykan2 September 2026
- D0-0away to Fajr Sepasi29 August 2026
Chadormalu SC
- D2-2Kheybar Khorramabad9 October 2026
- W2-1away to Sanat Naft12 September 2026
- W1-0Shams Azar Qazvin6 September 2026
- D1-1away to Esteghlal Khuzestan1 September 2026
- L0-2Tractor Sazi28 August 2026
What these results say
- ZOB Ahan failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for ZOB Ahan had two goals or fewer.
- Chadormalu SC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Chadormalu SC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Persian Gulf Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | ZOB Ahan | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 | Chadormalu SC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
ZOB Ahan
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 18% today
Chadormalu SC
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 7% today
From our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: ZOB Ahan vs Chadormalu SC
- 4 December 2025Chadormalu SC 0–0 ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League
- 22 November 2025Chadormalu SC 1–0 ZOB AhanHazfi Cup
- 4 April 2025ZOB Ahan 0–1 Chadormalu SCPersian Gulf Pro League
- 1 November 2024Chadormalu SC 1–0 ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
ZOB Ahan carry a model rating of 6.25 against 6.34 for Chadormalu SC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.34 goals for ZOB Ahan and 1.20 for Chadormalu SC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
ZOB Ahan rate 0.48 in attack and 1.61 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Chadormalu SC rate 0.62 and 1.71.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Chadormalu SC, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,776 correct results out of 3,725 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives ZOB Ahan the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.34 expected goals for ZOB Ahan against 1.20 for Chadormalu SC. ZOB Ahan's attack/defence rating is 0.48/1.61 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.62/1.71 for Chadormalu SC.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
ZOB Ahan at home · Chadormalu SC away
League matches only, Persian Gulf Pro League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Persian Gulf Pro League matches this season: ZOB Ahan 8, Chadormalu SC 8.
ZOB Ahan score most often in the 76–90 minute window (3 goals); Chadormalu SC have let in 4 there.
Chadormalu SC score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); ZOB Ahan have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
ZOB Ahan
- at Aluminium Arak23 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 21%
- vs Esteghlal Khuzestan30 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 46%
- at Gol Gohar8 Nov · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 20%
Chadormalu SC
- vs Esteghlal FC22 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 27%
- at Malavan30 Oct · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 33%
- vs Foolad FC6 Nov · Persian Gulf Pro Leaguewin 36%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.