1 September 2026, 14:00 UTC

El Geish vs Masr Premier League prediction & result

Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium, Cairo
Full time0 – 1

Final score: El Geish 0-1 Masr.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% El Geish, 32% draw, 35% Masr — fair odds of 3.03, 3.13 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Masr at 35% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

El Geish0%Draw2%Masr98%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Ahmed Wahid
18'
Amro Tarek
36'
Ahmed Wahid
45+1'
45'
🔁Abdo Goudaout: Abdallah Bakri
59'
🔁Marwane Hajijout: Omar Khedr
63'
Abdelrahman Hassan El Banouby
🔁Fares Hatemout: I. Ouro-Agoro
64'
🔁Mohamed Atefout: Zaghloul Mohamed
64'
65'
🔁Abdelrahman Hassan El Banoubyout: Ahmed Elkalamawy
65'
🔁Mahmoud Ali Sayed Elarabyout: Walid Farag
🔁Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zolaout: Hamed Khaled El Gabry
73'
🔁Karim Tarekout: Komlavi Komi
73'
82'
🔁Mohamed Husseinout: Wajdi Nabhan
87'
⚽Omar Khedrassist: Ahmed Elkalamawy
🔁Amro Tarekout: Ahmed Tarek
90+1'

Match stats — El Geish vs Masr

42%Possession58%
14Shots14
4On target3
3Corners4
0.83xG1.17

Goals against chances

El Geish0 from 0.83 xGless than the chances were worth
Masr1 from 1.17 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

El Geish 4-1-4-1
  • 18E. El SayedG
  • 8A. ZolaD
  • 6K. SotohiD
  • 4M. CamachoD
  • 3A. TarekD
  • 14A. WahidM
  • 30M. AtefM
  • 32Y. MostafaM
  • 12I. Mohareb
  • 11K. Tarek
  • 9F. HatemF
Substitutes
  • 77M. Magdy
  • 24El Zoughbi
  • 19H. El GabryM
  • 21Khaled Ramadan
  • 22M. El KhawagaM
  • 28I. Ouro-AgoroF
  • 10M. HanyF
  • 25A. TarekM
  • 13K. Agbo
Coach: Gomaa Mashhour
Masr 4-1-4-1
  • 1A. LotfiG
  • 23T. AlaaD
  • 24A. GoudaD
  • 2M. HusseinD
  • 26M. RabiaD
  • 18Ahmed El SageeryM
  • 33M. IbrahimM
  • 10M. SaadM
  • 72M. HajijM
  • 74Mahmoud Sayed OkaaM
  • 11Abdelrahman El SakranF
Substitutes
  • 16M. MazzikaG
  • 15S. Ibrahim
  • 3A. BakriD
  • 73W. Nabhan
  • 22M. BolbolM
  • 19M. EzzF
  • 30F. WalidF
  • 14MessiF
  • 35O. KhedrF
Coach: Mohamed Shawky

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15El Geish7214612-67
9Masr732288011

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: El Geish and Masr

El Geish

GoalsAssists

  • Islam Mohareb21

Masr

GoalsAssists

  • Ahmed Atef21

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.