Vojvodina
vs
Radnik Surdulica
Super Liga prediction
The model makes it 76% Vojvodina, 15% draw, 9% Radnik Surdulica — fair odds of 1.32, 6.67 and 11.11. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (12%).
Expected goals: Vojvodina 2.59, Radnik Surdulica 0.78.
Both teams to score: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 65%, under 2.5: 35%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Vojvodina
- W2-0Macva3 August 2026
- L1-3away to FK Crvena Zvezda26 July 2026
- W4-0OFK Beograd19 July 2026
Radnik Surdulica
- D0-0away to OFK Beograd25 July 2026
- D1-1Mladost Lucani19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vojvodina | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 6 |
| 12 | Radnik Surdulica | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Leading scorers
Vojvodina
- N. Mulahusejnović3 goals
- L. Ranđelović2 goals3 assists
- P. Sukacev1 goals1 assists
Radnik Surdulica
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Vojvodina carry a model rating of 6.62 against 6.15 for Radnik Surdulica. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Vojvodina W-L-W; Radnik Surdulica D-D.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.59 goals for Vojvodina and 0.78 for Radnik Surdulica. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Vojvodina rate 0.64 in attack and 1.05 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Radnik Surdulica rate 0.53 and 2.14.
That points to 65% for over two and a half goals and 50% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 288 correct results out of 598 settled predictions (48%), with 58 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Vojvodina the highest probability at 76%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.59 expected goals for Vojvodina against 0.78 for Radnik Surdulica. Vojvodina's attack/defence rating is 0.64/1.05 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.53/2.14 for Radnik Surdulica.