Vasteras SK FK
vs
Halmstad
Allsvenskan prediction
Our model says: Vasteras SK FK 2–0 Halmstad
The model makes it 60% Vasteras SK FK, 24% draw, 16% Halmstad — fair odds of 1.67, 4.17 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (12%).
Expected goals: Vasteras SK FK 2.00, Halmstad 0.78.
Both teams to score: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, under 2.5: 47%.
Model confidence: High.
One-sided: Vasteras SK FK are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Vasteras SK FK are 7th on 35 points from 23 games; Halmstad are bottom on 14 points from 23 games — Allsvenskan.
- Vasteras SK FK have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to IFK Goteborg.
- Halmstad have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-4 defeat away to IF Elfsborg.
- Last 6 meetings: Vasteras SK FK 2 wins to 1, 3 draws; the most recent, 4 July 2026, ended Halmstad 1–3 Vasteras SK FK.
More Allsvenskan predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Vasteras SK FK vs Halmstad
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Vasteras SK FK at 60% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Vasteras SK FK vs Halmstad
Vasteras SK FK
- L0-1away to IFK Goteborg9 October 2026
- W2-0Malmo FF19 September 2026
- W4-1away to AIK Stockholm12 September 2026
- L0-1Sirius5 September 2026
- W3-1away to BK Hacken29 August 2026
Halmstad
- L0-4away to IF Elfsborg12 October 2026
- W2-1AIK Stockholm20 September 2026
- L1-2away to IFK Goteborg12 September 2026
- L0-2away to Degerfors IF5 September 2026
- W1-0Kalmar FF29 August 2026
What these results say
- Vasteras SK FK conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Halmstad conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Vasteras SK FK | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 44 | -28 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Vasteras SK FK
Chance to finish in the top four · 7% today
From our Allsvenskan season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Vasteras SK FK vs Halmstad
- 4 July 2026Halmstad 1–3 Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskan
- 26 August 2024Halmstad 0–1 Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskan
- 13 April 2024Vasteras SK FK 0–1 HalmstadAllsvenskan
- 21 August 2022Halmstad 1–1 Vasteras SK FKSuperettan
- 28 May 2022Vasteras SK FK 2–2 HalmstadSuperettan
- 27 February 2021Halmstad 0–0 Vasteras SK FKSvenska Cupen
Leading scorers: Vasteras SK FK and Halmstad
Vasteras SK FK
GoalsAssists
- M. Ladefoged92
- A. Taonsa80
Halmstad
No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Vasteras SK FK carry a model rating of 6.44 against 6.06 for Halmstad. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 2.00 goals for Vasteras SK FK and 0.78 for Halmstad. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Vasteras SK FK rate 0.65 in attack and 1.48 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Halmstad rate 0.38 and 1.89.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,774 correct results out of 3,712 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Vasteras SK FK the highest probability at 60%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.00 expected goals for Vasteras SK FK against 0.78 for Halmstad. Vasteras SK FK's attack/defence rating is 0.65/1.48 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.38/1.89 for Halmstad.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Vasteras SK FK at home · Halmstad away
League matches only, Allsvenskan, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Allsvenskan matches this season: Vasteras SK FK 23, Halmstad 23.
Vasteras SK FK score most often in the 46–60 minute window (8 goals); Halmstad have let in 13 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Vasteras SK FK
- at Degerfors IF28 Oct · Allsvenskanwin 42%
- vs IF Brommapojkarna1 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 47%
- at Orgryte IS7 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 48%
- at Gais21 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 26%
Halmstad
- vs Malmo FF28 Oct · Allsvenskanwin 21%
- at Sirius3 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 10%
- vs Djurgardens IF8 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 11%
- at IF Brommapojkarna22 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 18%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.