Teplice
vs
Artis
Czech Liga prediction
Our model says: Teplice 2–1 Artis
The model makes it 59% Teplice, 22% draw, 19% Artis — fair odds of 1.69, 4.55 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (10%).
Expected goals: Teplice 2.31, Artis 1.08.
Both teams to score: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%, under 2.5: 34%.
Model confidence: High.
Edge to Teplice: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Teplice are 7th on 17 points from 10 games; Artis are 13th on 8 points from 10 games — Czech Liga.
- Teplice have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Sigma Olomouc.
- Artis have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 4-2 win away to Hradec Králové.
More Czech Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Teplice vs Artis
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Teplice at 59% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Teplice vs Artis
Teplice
- D1-1Sigma Olomouc11 October 2026
- W2-0away to Hradec Králové20 September 2026
- L0-2Slavia Praha13 September 2026
- W3-1away to Zlin6 September 2026
- W2-0FK Jablonec30 August 2026
Artis
- W4-2away to Hradec Králové10 October 2026
- D0-0Slovan Liberec19 September 2026
- L1-2away to Zbrojovka Brno12 September 2026
- L0-3Plzen5 September 2026
- W2-1away to Pardubice29 August 2026
What these results say
- Teplice scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Teplice had two goals or fewer.
- Artis conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Artis had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Teplice | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 17 |
| 13 | Artis | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Teplice
Chance to finish in the top four · 33% today
Artis
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 71% today
From our Czech Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Teplice vs Artis
- 30 October 2024Artis 1–3 TepliceCup
Leading scorers: Teplice and Artis
Teplice
GoalsAssists
- John Auta40
- M. Pulkrab31
- L. Mareček31
Artis
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Teplice carry a model rating of 6.69 against 6.4 for Artis. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.31 goals for Teplice and 1.08 for Artis. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Teplice rate 0.88 in attack and 1.21 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Artis rate 0.70 and 1.73.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Teplice a 0.5% chance of the title and Artis 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,774 correct results out of 3,712 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Teplice the highest probability at 59%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.31 expected goals for Teplice against 1.08 for Artis. Teplice's attack/defence rating is 0.88/1.21 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.7/1.73 for Artis.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Teplice at home · Artis away
League matches only, Czech Liga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Czech Liga matches this season: Teplice 10, Artis 10.
Teplice score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); Artis have let in 2 there.
Artis score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); Teplice have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Teplice
- at Slovácko31 Oct · Czech Ligawin 41%
- vs Pardubice8 Nov · Czech Ligawin 49%
- at Baník Ostrava21 Nov · Czech Ligawin 44%
- vs Slovan Liberec28 Nov · Czech Ligawin 37%
Artis
- vs Zlin31 Oct · Czech Ligawin 41%
- at Slavia Praha8 Nov · Czech Ligawin 5%
- vs FK Jablonec21 Nov · Czech Ligawin 30%
- vs Slovácko27 Nov · Czech Ligawin 35%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.