Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Talleres Cordoba 1-2 Defensa Y Justicia.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Talleres Cordoba, 31% draw, 35% Defensa Y Justicia — fair odds of 2.94, 3.23 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Defensa Y Justicia at 35% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 32E. UnsainG
- 20A. SchottD
- 4M. CatalánD
- 6R. RiquelmeD
- 3A. MaidanaD
- 8F. FattoriM
- 5M. GalarzaM
- 37RickM
- 10G. BaroniM
- 11V. DepietriM
- 9A. ÁlvarezF
- 23G. BáezD
- 1S. BarbiG
- 2T. ChamorroD
- 36E. ChiavassaF
- 26M. CaceresM
- 49V. DávilaF
- 13V. FascendiniD
- 44S. FernándezD
- 27J. GallardM
- 1M. BorgognoG
- 28V. LozaD
- 29D. FernándezD
- 21D. MartínezD
- 30D. DomínguezD
- 15S. SosaM
- 8C. PérezM
- 26J. LuccoM
- 19D. BarbonaM
- 24J. GutiérrezM
- 9L. FernándezF
- 27D. BlancoM
- 36L. AmadéG
- 6E. BurdinD
- 17A. HauschF
- 2E. LuceroD
- 5J. LópezM
- 10A. MolinasM
- 11Tiziano PerrotaF
- 22M. PorcelM
Form going into Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia
Talleres Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
- L1-2away to Boca Juniors17 October 2026
- D0-0Independiente12 October 2026
- L0-1Belgrano Cordoba4 October 2026
- L1-3away to Instituto Cordoba20 September 2026
Defensa Y Justicia
Liga Profesional Argentina
- L0-1Instituto Cordoba16 October 2026
- W2-0away to Union Santa Fe10 October 2026
- W3-0San Lorenzo3 October 2026
- D2-2away to Central Cordoba de Santiago18 September 2026
What these results say
- Talleres Cordoba did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Talleres Cordoba conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Defensa Y Justicia scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 27 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia
- 13 April 2026Defensa Y Justicia 1–2 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 24 July 2024Talleres Cordoba 1–1 Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 11 March 2023Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 11 September 2022Talleres Cordoba 1–0 Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 9 April 2022Talleres Cordoba 1–5 Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 4 October 2021Defensa Y Justicia 3–0 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
The result against the call
Defensa Y Justicia won 2–1 at Talleres Cordoba. The model had made a win for Defensa Y Justicia its most likely outcome, at 35%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Agustin Alvarez Martínez 32' for Talleres Cordoba, Leandro Fernández 47' for Defensa Y Justicia, Juan Manuel Gutiérrez 88' for Defensa Y Justicia. On expected goals it finished 0.85–0.84.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Talleres Cordoba a 88.8% chance to finish in the bottom three: 78.1% after a win, 93.0% after a draw, 97.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 97.3%, 8.5 points higher than before the match.
For Defensa Y Justicia the question was the chance to finish top of the Clausura Group A, 2.1% going in: 4.7% after a win, under 1% after a draw, under 1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 4.7%, 2.6 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.