26 July 2026, 18:00 UTC

Paks vs Ferencvarosi TC NB I prediction & result

Paks
Full time4 – 2

Final score: Paks 4-2 Ferencvarosi TC.

Before kick-off the model made it 23% Paks, 26% draw, 51% Ferencvarosi TC — fair odds of 4.35, 3.85 and 1.96. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Ferencvarosi TC at 51% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

4'
🔁Franko Kovačevićout: Yusuf Bamidele
Kristóf Papp
13'
18'
⚽Yusuf Bamideleassist: Olivér Nagy
⚽Milán Petőassist: József Szalai
23'
32'
⚽Endre Botkaassist: Zsombor Gruber
⚽József Szalaiassist: Zsolt Haraszti
41'
46'
🔁Marius Corbuout: Mariano Gómez
⚽József Szalai
55'
56'
🔁Zsombor Gruberout: Ádám Bagi
56'
🔁Szilárd Szabóout: Elton Acolatse
⚽Milán Petőassist: Bálint Vécsei
59'
🔁Zsolt Harasztiout: József Windecker
62'
🔁József Szalaiout: Dániel Böde
68'
69'
🔁Endre Botkaout: Philippe Rommens
🔁Milán Petőout: János Hahn
75'
🔁Kevin Horváthout: Balázs Balogh
75'
József Windecker
76'
Milán Győrfi
90+3'

Match stats — Paks vs Ferencvarosi TC

39%Possession61%
17Shots12
7On target5
7Corners2

Line-ups

Paks
  • 1Ádám KovácsikG
  • 6Milán GyőrfiD
  • 5Bálint VécseiD
  • 12Gabor VasD
  • 26Milán SzekszárdiD
  • 20Márió ZekeD
  • 21Kristóf PappM
  • 19Kevin HorváthM
  • 17Milán PetőM
  • 7József SzalaiF
  • 10Zsolt HarasztiF
Substitutes
  • 22József WindeckerM
  • 13Dániel BödeF
  • 8Balázs BaloghM
  • 9János HahnF
  • 28Márk GyetvánG
  • 11Hunor KuzmaD
  • 4Andor LapuM
  • 24Bence LenzsérD
  • 18Gergő GyurkitsM
Coach: Gyorgy Bognar
Ferencvarosi TC
  • 1Ádám VargaG
  • 54Olivér NagyD
  • 21Endre BotkaD
  • 5Nathan ZohoréD
  • 47Callum O'DowdaD
  • 17Marius CorbuM
  • 36Gabi KanichowskyM
  • 30Zsombor GruberM
  • 76Krisztián LisztesM
  • 74Szilárd SzabóM
  • 19Franko KovačevićF
Substitutes
  • 11Yusuf BamideleF
  • 4Mariano GómezD
  • 18Ádám BagiF
  • 7Elton AcolatseF
  • 88Philippe RommensM
  • 90Dénes DibuszG
  • 28Toon RaemaekersD
  • 20CaduM
  • 14Attila OsváthD
Coach: Balazs Borbely

Form going into Paks vs Ferencvarosi TC

Paks

  • L1-2Panathinaikos23 July 2026

Ferencvarosi TC

  • W2-1away to Twente23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Paks72231517-28
5Ferencvarosi TC6321107+311

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Paks vs Ferencvarosi TC

  • 26 July 2026Paks 4–2 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
  • 26 April 2026Ferencvarosi TC 2–0 PaksNB I
  • 1 February 2026Paks 0–1 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
  • 5 October 2025Ferencvarosi TC 2–2 PaksNB I
  • 14 May 2025Ferencvarosi TC 1–1 PaksMagyar Kupa
  • 10 May 2025Paks 2–3 Ferencvarosi TCNB I

Leading scorers: Paks and Ferencvarosi TC

Paks

  • J. Szalai6 goals1 assists
  • M. Pető3 goals
  • Z. Haraszti2 goals2 assists

Ferencvarosi TC

  • B. Yusuf2 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.