Paks vs Ferencvarosi TC NB I prediction & result
Final score: Paks 4-2 Ferencvarosi TC.
Before kick-off the model made it 23% Paks, 26% draw, 51% Ferencvarosi TC — fair odds of 4.35, 3.85 and 1.96. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Ferencvarosi TC at 51% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Paks vs Ferencvarosi TC
Line-ups
- 1Ádám KovácsikG
- 6Milán GyőrfiD
- 5Bálint VécseiD
- 12Gabor VasD
- 26Milán SzekszárdiD
- 20Márió ZekeD
- 21Kristóf PappM
- 19Kevin HorváthM
- 17Milán PetőM
- 7József SzalaiF
- 10Zsolt HarasztiF
- 22József WindeckerM
- 13Dániel BödeF
- 8Balázs BaloghM
- 9János HahnF
- 28Márk GyetvánG
- 11Hunor KuzmaD
- 4Andor LapuM
- 24Bence LenzsérD
- 18Gergő GyurkitsM
- 1Ádám VargaG
- 54Olivér NagyD
- 21Endre BotkaD
- 5Nathan ZohoréD
- 47Callum O'DowdaD
- 17Marius CorbuM
- 36Gabi KanichowskyM
- 30Zsombor GruberM
- 76Krisztián LisztesM
- 74Szilárd SzabóM
- 19Franko KovačevićF
- 11Yusuf BamideleF
- 4Mariano GómezD
- 18Ádám BagiF
- 7Elton AcolatseF
- 88Philippe RommensM
- 90Dénes DibuszG
- 28Toon RaemaekersD
- 20CaduM
- 14Attila OsváthD
Form going into Paks vs Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Panathinaikos23 July 2026
Ferencvarosi TC
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Twente23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Paks | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 17 |
| 3 | Ferencvarosi TC | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Paks vs Ferencvarosi TC
- 26 April 2026Ferencvarosi TC 2–0 PaksNB I
- 1 February 2026Paks 0–1 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
- 5 October 2025Ferencvarosi TC 2–2 PaksNB I
- 14 May 2025Ferencvarosi TC 1–1 PaksMagyar Kupa
- 10 May 2025Paks 2–3 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
Leading scorers: Paks and Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
GoalsAssists
- J. Szalai61
- M. Pető41
Ferencvarosi TC
GoalsAssists
- B. Yusuf31
- K. Zachariassen31
- M. Corbu30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Paks beat Ferencvarosi TC 4–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Ferencvarosi TC at 51% and given a win for Paks 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Yusuf Bamidele 18' for Ferencvarosi TC, Milán Pető 23' for Paks, Endre Botka 32' for Ferencvarosi TC, József Szalai 41' for Paks, József Szalai 55' for Paks, Milán Pető 59' for Paks.