Rubio NU
vs
Olimpia
Division Profesional - Clausura prediction
Our model says: Rubio NU 1–2 Olimpia
The model makes it 27% Rubio NU, 26% draw, 47% Olimpia — fair odds of 3.70, 3.85 and 2.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2 (10%).
Expected goals: Rubio NU 1.30, Olimpia 2.12.
Both teams to score: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%, under 2.5: 34%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Rubio NU are 10th on 9 points from 12 games; Olimpia are top on 25 points from 12 games — Division Profesional - Clausura.
- Rubio NU are without a win in 4, most recently a 2-2 draw at home to 2 de Mayo.
- Olimpia are unbeaten in their last 5 (4 won), most recently a 1-0 win away to Libertad Asuncion.
- Last 6 meetings: Olimpia 4 wins to 0, 2 draws; the most recent, 2 August 2026, ended Olimpia 5–0 Rubio NU.
All Paraguayan Primera División Clausura predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Rubio NU vs Olimpia
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Olimpia at 47% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Rubio NU vs Olimpia
Rubio NU
- D2-22 de Mayo26 September 2026
- L0-1away to Cerro Porteno19 September 2026
- L0-1Nacional Asuncion13 September 2026
- L2-4away to Libertad Asuncion6 September 2026
- W3-1Club Sp. San Lorenzo1 September 2026
Olimpia
- W1-0away to Libertad Asuncion28 September 2026
- W3-0away to Club Sp. San Lorenzo20 September 2026
- W3-0Sportivo Luqueno13 September 2026
- W2-1away to Sportivo Trinidense6 September 2026
- D1-1Club Guarani2 September 2026
What these results say
- Rubio NU conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Rubio NU failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Olimpia went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Olimpia scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Olimpia won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Division Profesional - Clausura table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rubio NU | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 9 |
| 1 | Olimpia | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Rubio NU vs Olimpia
- 2 August 2026Olimpia 5–0 Rubio NUDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 12 April 2026Rubio NU 0–2 OlimpiaDivision Profesional - Apertura
- 14 February 2026Olimpia 0–0 Rubio NUDivision Profesional - Apertura
- 18 October 2017Rubio NU 0–0 OlimpiaDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 6 August 2017Olimpia 3–0 Rubio NUDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 27 May 2017Rubio NU 0–1 OlimpiaDivision Profesional - Apertura
Leading scorers: Rubio NU and Olimpia
Rubio NU
- R. Ruiz Díaz3 goals1 assist
- J. Vallejos3 goals1 assist
Olimpia
- A. Alcaraz7 goals1 assist
- S. Quintana4 goals1 assist
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Rubio NU carry a model rating of 6.24 against 6.63 for Olimpia. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.30 goals for Rubio NU and 2.12 for Olimpia. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Rubio NU rate 0.62 in attack and 2.12 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Olimpia rate 0.83 and 1.29.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Rubio NU a 0% chance of the title and Olimpia 47%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,381 correct results out of 2,964 settled predictions (47%), with 285 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Olimpia the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.30 expected goals for Rubio NU against 2.12 for Olimpia. Rubio NU's attack/defence rating is 0.62/2.12 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.83/1.29 for Olimpia.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Rubio NU at home · Olimpia away
League matches only, Division Profesional - Clausura, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Division Profesional - Clausura matches this season: Rubio NU 12, Olimpia 12.
Olimpia score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); Rubio NU have let in 5 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Rubio NU
- at Deportivo Recoleta21 Oct · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 31%
- vs Club Guarani29 Oct · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 29%
- at Sportivo Trinidense5 Nov · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 18%
- vs Sportivo Luqueno8 Nov · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 43%
Olimpia
- vs 2 de Mayo21 Oct · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 51%
- at Sportivo Ameliano29 Oct · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 39%
- at Cerro Porteno5 Nov · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 34%
- vs Deportivo Recoleta8 Nov · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 62%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.