Randers FC
vs
Brondby
Superliga prediction
Our model says: Randers FC 1–2 Brondby
The model makes it 31% Randers FC, 27% draw, 42% Brondby — fair odds of 3.23, 3.70 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Randers FC 1.25, Brondby 1.57.
Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, under 2.5: 47%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Edge to Brondby: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Randers FC are 8th on 10 points from 10 games; Brondby are 5th on 16 points from 10 games — Superliga.
- Randers FC are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat at home to Viborg.
- Brondby have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 5-2 win at home to Lyngby.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 2 draws; the most recent, 6 September 2026, ended Brondby 0–3 Randers FC.
More Danish Superliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Randers FC vs Brondby
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Brondby at 42% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Randers FC vs Brondby
Randers FC
- L0-2Viborg11 October 2026
- L2-4away to Sonderjyske20 September 2026
- L1-2Odense13 September 2026
- W3-0away to Brondby6 September 2026
- W2-1Aarhus30 August 2026
Brondby
- W5-2Lyngby11 October 2026
- L0-1FC Copenhagen20 September 2026
- L1-4away to FC Midtjylland14 September 2026
- L0-3Randers FC6 September 2026
- L1-3away to FC Nordsjaelland30 August 2026
What these results say
- Randers FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Randers FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Randers FC had three goals or more.
- Brondby conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Brondby failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Brondby had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Randers FC | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
| 5 | Brondby | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Randers FC
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 52% today
Brondby
Chance to finish in the top four · 33% today
From our Superliga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Randers FC vs Brondby
- 6 September 2026Brondby 0–3 Randers FCSuperliga
- 8 February 2026Brondby 0–0 Randers FCSuperliga
- 17 August 2025Randers FC 0–2 BrondbySuperliga
- 25 April 2025Randers FC 0–0 BrondbySuperliga
- 21 April 2025Brondby 4–3 Randers FCSuperliga
- 10 March 2025Randers FC 4–2 BrondbySuperliga
Leading scorers: Randers FC and Brondby
Randers FC
GoalsAssists
- M. Themsen31
- E. Mahmoud31
- M. Sankoh30
Brondby
GoalsAssists
- O. Hyseni33
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Randers FC carry a model rating of 6.41 against 6.59 for Brondby. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.25 goals for Randers FC and 1.57 for Brondby. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Randers FC rate 0.57 in attack and 1.40 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Brondby rate 0.74 and 1.25.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Randers FC a 0% chance of the title and Brondby 0.4%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,774 correct results out of 3,712 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Brondby the highest probability at 42%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.25 expected goals for Randers FC against 1.57 for Brondby. Randers FC's attack/defence rating is 0.57/1.4 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.74/1.25 for Brondby.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Randers FC at home · Brondby away
League matches only, Superliga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
Randers FCBrondby
Randers FC are 8th after 10 Superliga matches (between 3rd and 10th so far); Brondby are 5th after 10 (between 1st and 5th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Superliga matches this season: Randers FC 10, Brondby 10.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Randers FC
- at Lyngby30 Oct · Superligawin 35%
- vs FC Nordsjaelland8 Nov · Superligawin 26%
- at Viborg22 Nov · Superligawin 20%
- vs AC Horsens29 Nov · Superligawin 33%
Brondby
- at AB Copenhagen27 Oct · DBU Pokalenwin 42%
- vs Aarhus1 Nov · Superligawin 38%
- at FC Copenhagen8 Nov · Superligawin 21%
- vs FC Midtjylland23 Nov · Superligawin 26%
- at Sonderjyske27 Nov · Superligawin 44%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.