Macva
vs
Radnicki NIS
Super Liga prediction
The model makes it 15% Macva, 23% draw, 62% Radnicki NIS — fair odds of 6.67, 4.35 and 1.61. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1 (12%).
Expected goals: Macva 0.81, Radnicki NIS 1.88.
Both teams to score: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 50%, under 2.5: 50%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Macva
- L0-2away to Vojvodina3 August 2026
- L1-3FK Partizan26 July 2026
- L0-5away to FK Crvena Zvezda17 July 2026
Radnicki NIS
- W1-0away to Zemun2 August 2026
- L0-2Cukaricki25 July 2026
- L1-2away to Železničar Pančevo17 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Macva | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
| 11 | Radnicki NIS | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
A clear gap in the ratings
Macva carry a model rating of 5.86 against 6.41 for Radnicki NIS. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Macva L-L-L; Radnicki NIS L-L-W.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 0.81 goals for Macva and 1.88 for Radnicki NIS. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Macva rate 0.29 in attack and 2.20 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Radnicki NIS rate 0.61 and 1.47.
That points to 50% for over two and a half goals and 47% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (12%), 1-1 (11%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 288 correct results out of 598 settled predictions (48%), with 58 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Radnicki NIS the highest probability at 62%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.81 expected goals for Macva against 1.88 for Radnicki NIS. Macva's attack/defence rating is 0.29/2.2 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.61/1.47 for Radnicki NIS.