Plymouth
vs
Huddersfield
League One prediction
Our model says: Plymouth 2–1 Huddersfield
The model makes it 41% Plymouth, 28% draw, 31% Huddersfield — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Plymouth 1.75, Huddersfield 1.34.
Both teams to score: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published
Key facts
- Plymouth are 4th on 13 points from 8 games; Huddersfield are 6th on 12 points from 7 games — League One.
- Plymouth have won 3 of their last 5, most recently a 0-1 defeat at home to Burton Albion.
- Huddersfield are without a win in 3, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Bromley.
- Last 5 meetings: Plymouth 3 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 21 March 2026, ended Plymouth 3–1 Huddersfield.
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Plymouth vs Huddersfield
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Plymouth at 41% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Plymouth vs Huddersfield
Plymouth
- L0-1Burton Albion26 September 2026
- W4-2away to Blackpool19 September 2026
- W3-0Barnsley12 September 2026
- W3-2away to Doncaster5 September 2026
- L0-2away to Leicester1 September 2026
Huddersfield
- L1-2away to Bromley19 September 2026
- D0-0away to Mansfield Town12 September 2026
- D1-1Notts County5 September 2026
- W3-1Oxford United1 September 2026
- W2-1away to Cambridge United29 August 2026
What these results say
- Plymouth conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Huddersfield scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Huddersfield conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Huddersfield.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Plymouth | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Plymouth vs Huddersfield
- 21 March 2026Plymouth 3–1 HuddersfieldLeague One
- 8 November 2025Huddersfield 3–1 PlymouthLeague One
- 13 January 2024Huddersfield 1–1 PlymouthChampionship
- 5 August 2023Plymouth 3–1 HuddersfieldChampionship
- 9 January 2021Huddersfield 2–3 PlymouthFA Cup
Leading scorers: Plymouth and Huddersfield
Plymouth
- A. Pepple3 goals
Huddersfield
- J. Taylor5 goals1 assist
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Plymouth carry a model rating of 6.4 against 6.36 for Huddersfield. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.75 goals for Plymouth and 1.34 for Huddersfield. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Plymouth rate 0.70 in attack and 1.74 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Huddersfield rate 0.62 and 1.64.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Plymouth a 11.4% chance of the title and Huddersfield 10.3%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,381 correct results out of 2,964 settled predictions (47%), with 285 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Plymouth the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.75 expected goals for Plymouth against 1.34 for Huddersfield. Plymouth's attack/defence rating is 0.7/1.74 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.62/1.64 for Huddersfield.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Plymouth at home · Huddersfield away
League matches only, League One, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All League One matches this season: Plymouth 8, Huddersfield 7.
Plymouth score most often in the 46–60 minute window (4 goals); Huddersfield have let in 1 there.
Huddersfield score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); Plymouth have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Plymouth
- at Stevenage20 Oct · League Onewin 35%
- at Cambridge United24 Oct · League Onewin 35%
- vs Reading31 Oct · League Onewin 41%
Huddersfield
- vs Peterborough20 Oct · League Onewin 49%
- vs Wigan24 Oct · League Onewin 48%
- at Bradford31 Oct · League Onewin 31%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.