19 July 2026

Universitatea Cluj vs Farul Constanta Liga I prediction & result

Full time2 – 1

Final score: Universitatea Cluj 2-1 Farul Constanta.

Before kick-off the model made it 50% Universitatea Cluj, 26% draw, 24% Farul Constanta — fair odds of 2.00, 3.85 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Universitatea Cluj at 50% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

•A. Aliev
2'
🔁S. Lefterout: N. Michail
24'
🔁J. Stanojevout: A. Chintes
24'
⚽A. Alievassist: D. Nistor
44'
44'
R. Munteanu
46'
🔁V. Ticuout: Gustavo Marins
46'
🔁E. Sylvestreout: N. Grigoryan
46'
🔁I. Vinaout: R. Tanasa
⚽M. Drammehassist: A. Aliev
49'
54'
⚽I. Doicaruassist: T. Njike
🔁M. Stefanescuout: O. Mendy
55'
A. Chintes
56'
56'
T. Njike
🔁D. Codreaout: F. Poulolo
63'
64'
N. Grigoryan
77'
🔁M. Ahlinviout: E. Radaslavescu
82'
🔁I. Doicaruout: C. Sima

Match stats — Universitatea Cluj vs Farul Constanta

48%Possession52%
12Shots22
2On target4
2Corners4
0.97xG1.73

Goals against chances

Universitatea Cluj2 from 0.97 xGmore than the chances were worth
Farul Constanta1 from 1.73 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Universitatea Cluj 4-3-3
  • 1S. LefterG
  • 33J. StanojevD
  • 6L. CristeaD
  • 8D. CodreaD
  • 27A. ChipciuD
  • 7M. DrammehM
  • 94O. BicM
  • 10D. NistorM
  • 19I. MacalouF
  • 25A. Aliev
  • 14M. StefanescuF
Substitutes
  • 46N. MichailG
  • 99T. CosaG
  • 98G. SimionM
  • 18P. PinhoM
  • 29O. MendyF
  • 9A. TricaF
  • 12A. FridayM
  • 22F. PouloloD
  • 2A. ChintesD
Coach: Cristiano Bergodi
Farul Constanta 4-3-1-2
  • 12R. MunteanuG
  • 22D. SirbuD
  • 6V. DicanD
  • 17I. LarieD
  • 3V. TicuD
  • 70M. AhlinviM
  • 23T. NjikeM
  • 8I. VinaM
  • 10E. SylvestreM
  • 19I. DoicaruF
  • 7D. AlibecF
Substitutes
  • 1A. BuzbuchiG
  • 24S. BouzamouchaD
  • 4Gustavo MarinsD
  • 18L. BanuM
  • 33Joao FerreiraD
  • 30N. GrigoryanF
  • 80N. PopescuM
  • 20E. RadaslavescuM
  • 71R. TanasaM
Coach: Ioan Sabau

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Universitatea Cluj137152520+522
7Farul Constanta135532120+120

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Universitatea Cluj vs Farul Constanta

  • 21 December 2025Universitatea Cluj 1–0 Farul ConstantaLiga I
  • 18 August 2025Farul Constanta 0–1 Universitatea ClujLiga I
  • 7 March 2025Farul Constanta 1–1 Universitatea ClujLiga I
  • 3 November 2024Universitatea Cluj 1–1 Farul ConstantaLiga I
  • 28 February 2024Universitatea Cluj 1–0 Farul ConstantaLiga I

Leading scorers: Universitatea Cluj and Farul Constanta

Universitatea Cluj

GoalsAssists

  • J. Lukić63
  • A. Aliev62

Farul Constanta

GoalsAssists

  • M. Ahlinvi61
  • E. Rădăslăvescu53

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Universitatea Cluj beat Farul Constanta 2–1. The model had made a win for Universitatea Cluj its most likely outcome, at 50%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: A. Aliev 44' for Universitatea Cluj, M. Drammeh 49' for Universitatea Cluj, I. Doicaru 54' for Farul Constanta. On expected goals it finished 0.97–1.73.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.