Olympiakos
vs
Krasava Ypsonas
1. Division prediction
Our model says: Olympiakos 2–0 Krasava Ypsonas
The model makes it 58% Olympiakos, 24% draw, 18% Krasava Ypsonas — fair odds of 1.72, 4.17 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (11%).
Expected goals: Olympiakos 2.01, Krasava Ypsonas 0.91.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 56%, under 2.5: 44%.
Model confidence: High.
Edge to Olympiakos: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Olympiakos are 10th on 4 points from 5 games; Krasava Ypsonas are bottom on 0 points from 5 games — 1. Division.
- Olympiakos have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to Aris.
- Krasava Ypsonas have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-3 defeat at home to Apollon Limassol.
- Last 6 meetings: Krasava Ypsonas 2 wins to 1, 3 draws; the most recent, 21 March 2026, ended Krasava Ypsonas 1–0 Olympiakos.
More Cypriot First Division predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Olympiakos vs Krasava Ypsonas
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Olympiakos at 58% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Olympiakos vs Krasava Ypsonas
Olympiakos
- L1-2Aris11 October 2026
- D1-1away to Omonia Aradippou20 September 2026
- D3-3Omonia 29is Maiou13 September 2026
- D0-0away to Pafos7 September 2026
- D3-3Nea Salamis28 August 2026
Krasava Ypsonas
- L1-3Apollon Limassol10 October 2026
- L1-4away to Omonia Nicosia20 September 2026
- L0-1Aris14 September 2026
- L1-2away to Omonia Aradippou5 September 2026
- L0-3Omonia 29is Maiou28 August 2026
What these results say
- Olympiakos did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Olympiakos scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Olympiakos conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Krasava Ypsonas did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Krasava Ypsonas conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Krasava Ypsonas had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Olympiakos | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Krasava Ypsonas | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Olympiakos vs Krasava Ypsonas
- 21 March 2026Krasava Ypsonas 1–0 Olympiakos1. Division
- 12 January 2026Krasava Ypsonas 1–0 Olympiakos1. Division
- 19 September 2025Olympiakos 1–1 Krasava Ypsonas1. Division
- 2 April 2025Olympiakos 1–1 Krasava Ypsonas2. Division
- 7 February 2025Krasava Ypsonas 1–2 Olympiakos2. Division
- 8 January 2025Krasava Ypsonas 0–0 Olympiakos2. Division
The two sides
Olympiakos carry a model rating of 6.54 against 6.3 for Krasava Ypsonas. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 2.01 goals for Olympiakos and 0.91 for Krasava Ypsonas. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Olympiakos rate 0.74 in attack and 1.38 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Krasava Ypsonas rate 0.55 and 1.67.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,776 correct results out of 3,725 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Olympiakos the highest probability at 58%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.01 expected goals for Olympiakos against 0.91 for Krasava Ypsonas. Olympiakos's attack/defence rating is 0.74/1.38 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.55/1.67 for Krasava Ypsonas.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Olympiakos at home · Krasava Ypsonas away
League matches only, 1. Division, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All 1. Division matches this season: Olympiakos 5, Krasava Ypsonas 5.
Krasava Ypsonas score most often in the 31–45 minute window (2 goals); Olympiakos have let in 3 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Olympiakos
- at Karmiotissa30 Oct · 1. Divisionwin 38%
- vs Apollon Limassol7 Nov · 1. Divisionwin 36%
- vs AEK Larnaca22 Nov · 1. Divisionwin 27%
- at AEL27 Nov · 1. Divisionwin 32%
Krasava Ypsonas
- vs AEK Larnaca31 Oct · 1. Divisionwin 17%
- at AEL7 Nov · 1. Divisionwin 21%
- vs Anorthosis23 Nov · 1. Divisionwin 39%
- at Apoel Nicosia28 Nov · 1. Divisionwin 15%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.