Odense
vs
FC Copenhagen
Superliga prediction
The model makes it 37% Odense, 22% draw, 41% FC Copenhagen — fair odds of 2.70, 4.55 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Odense 1.80, FC Copenhagen 1.90.
Both teams to score: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 72%, under 2.5: 28%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Odense
- L1-2AC Horsens16 August 2026
- L0-1away to Silkeborg10 August 2026
- W1-0Sonderjyske3 August 2026
- L0-1away to Viborg24 July 2026
FC Copenhagen
- W4-0away to Randers FC16 August 2026
- W3-1away to Silkeborg2 August 2026
- W3-2Lyngby26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Odense | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Leading scorers
Odense
No league goals recorded yet.
FC Copenhagen
- B. Meling4 goals
- M. Elyounoussi4 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Odense carry a model rating of 6.4 against 6.58 for FC Copenhagen. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Odense L-W-L-L; FC Copenhagen W-W-W.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.80 goals for Odense and 1.90 for FC Copenhagen. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Odense rate 0.69 in attack and 1.70 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FC Copenhagen rate 0.80 and 1.38.
That points to 72% for over two and a half goals and 71% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 542 correct results out of 1143 settled predictions (47%), with 104 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC Copenhagen the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.8 expected goals for Odense against 1.9 for FC Copenhagen. Odense's attack/defence rating is 0.69/1.7 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.8/1.38 for FC Copenhagen.