Lanus vs Instituto Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Lanus 0-1 Instituto Cordoba.
Before kick-off the model made it 28% Lanus, 34% draw, 38% Instituto Cordoba — fair odds of 3.57, 2.94 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Instituto Cordoba at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lanus vs Instituto Cordoba
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 26N. LosadaG
- 33T. GuidaraD
- 24C. IzquierdozD
- 13J. CanaleD
- 6S. MarcichD
- 5F. Pena BiaforeM
- 30A. CardozoM
- 16M. SepulvedaM
- 8F. N. WatsonM
- 77L. BesozziM
- 20A. WlkF
- 1F. PetroliG
- 4G. PerezD
- 39T. LaplaceM
- 35R. De JesusD
- 19Y. ValoisF
- 23R. CarreraM
- 9W. BouF
- 3N. MorgantiniD
- 17A. MedinaM
- 29M. LedesmaG
- 22A. MassaccesiD
- 26L. MosevichD
- 30J. GalvanD
- 44G. CeratoM
- 55G. AbreguM
- 15M. GallardoM
- 3D. SosaM
- 20J. E. Cordoba MosqueraF
- 10A. LunaF
- 17M. TisseraF
- 35E. O. Sittaro MirandaG
- 6F. R. AlarconD
- 2H. De La FuenteD
- 9F. SuarezF
- 23A. MeliD
- 21J. LazaroM
- 90P. BasterM
- 7N. GuerraF
- 8J. AcevedoM
Form going into Lanus vs Instituto Cordoba
Lanus
All competitions we cover
- W1-0San Lorenzo26 July 2026
Instituto Cordoba
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Platense30 July 2026
- L0-1away to Velez Sarsfield24 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 24 |
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | +11 | 32 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Lanus vs Instituto Cordoba
- 30 May 2026Instituto Cordoba 2–1 LanusCopa Argentina
- 4 February 2026Instituto Cordoba 2–2 LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
- 28 September 2025Instituto Cordoba 0–0 LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
- 17 March 2025Lanus 4–1 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 7 December 2024Lanus 2–0 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Lanus and Instituto Cordoba
Lanus
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.
Instituto Cordoba
GoalsAssists
- A. Luna73
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Instituto Cordoba won 1–0 at Lanus. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Instituto Cordoba at 38%. The goal: F. R. Alarcon 90' for Instituto Cordoba. On expected goals it finished 0.71–1.19.