Juve Stabia
vs
Hellas Verona
Serie B prediction
Our model says: Juve Stabia 0–1 Hellas Verona
The model makes it 32% Juve Stabia, 31% draw, 37% Hellas Verona — fair odds of 3.13, 3.23 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Juve Stabia 1.04, Hellas Verona 1.14.
Both teams to score: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 37%, under 2.5: 63%.
Model confidence: Low.
Edge to Hellas Verona: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Key facts
- Juve Stabia are bottom on 2 points from 6 games; Hellas Verona are 9th on 7 points from 6 games — Serie B.
- Juve Stabia are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Virtus Entella.
- Hellas Verona have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-3 defeat away to Modena.
More Serie B predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Juve Stabia vs Hellas Verona
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hellas Verona at 37% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Juve Stabia vs Hellas Verona
Juve Stabia
- D1-1away to Virtus Entella10 October 2026
- D1-1Cesena18 September 2026
- D1-1away to Vicenza Virtus12 September 2026
- L0-3Pisa6 September 2026
- W2-1away to Sampdoria29 August 2026
Hellas Verona
- L2-3away to Modena11 October 2026
- W2-1Vicenza Virtus20 September 2026
- L1-3away to Benevento11 September 2026
- W5-0Arezzo6 September 2026
- D1-1away to Padova29 August 2026
What these results say
- Juve Stabia conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Juve Stabia failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Juve Stabia scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Hellas Verona scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Hellas Verona conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Hellas Verona had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Juve Stabia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Juve Stabia vs Hellas Verona
- 5 August 2018Hellas Verona 4–1 Juve StabiaCoppa Italia
Leading scorers: Juve Stabia and Hellas Verona
Juve Stabia
GoalsAssists
- Antonio Di Nardo40
Hellas Verona
GoalsAssists
- D. Mosquera40
- S. Mulattieri21
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Juve Stabia carry a model rating of 6.5 against 6.67 for Hellas Verona. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.04 goals for Juve Stabia and 1.14 for Hellas Verona. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Juve Stabia rate 0.63 in attack and 1.29 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Hellas Verona rate 0.76 and 1.10.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Juve Stabia a 0.2% chance of the title and Hellas Verona 6.1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,774 correct results out of 3,712 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Hellas Verona the highest probability at 37%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.04 expected goals for Juve Stabia against 1.14 for Hellas Verona. Juve Stabia's attack/defence rating is 0.63/1.29 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.76/1.1 for Hellas Verona.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Juve Stabia at home · Hellas Verona away
League matches only, Serie B, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
Juve StabiaHellas Verona
Juve Stabia are 19th after 6 Serie B matches (between 18th and 20th so far); Hellas Verona are 9th after 6 (between 5th and 16th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored. Points deductions (Juve Stabia −4) count from the first match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Serie B matches this season: Juve Stabia 6, Hellas Verona 6.
Hellas Verona score most often in the 16–30 minute window (5 goals); Juve Stabia have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Juve Stabia
- at Empoli1 Nov · Serie Bwin 32%
- vs Arezzo7 Nov · Serie Bwin 51%
- at Modena21 Nov · Serie Bwin 23%
Hellas Verona
- vs Carrarese1 Nov · Serie Bwin 50%
- at Mantova7 Nov · Serie Bwin 32%
- vs Cesena21 Nov · Serie Bwin 55%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.