Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gangwon FC 2-2 Gwangju FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 80% Gangwon FC, 12% draw, 8% Gwangju FC — fair odds of 1.25, 8.33 and 12.50.
Most likely scoreline: 3-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Gangwon FC at 80%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1Park Cheong-HyoG
- 27Kim Do-HyunD
- 23M. TuciD
- 13Lee Gi-HyukD
- 33Hong ChulD
- 14Y. KangM
- 11Goh Young-JunM
- 6Kim Dong-HyunM
- 7Kim Dae-WonM
- 19Park Sang-HyeokF
- 26W. ChoF
- 5A. Mammar ChaoucheD
- 8Lee Seung-WonM
- 9Kim Gun-HeeF
- 10Mo Jae-HyeonF
- 16Kim Tae-HwanM
- 24H. ParkD
- 47Shin Min-HaD
- 51Cho Min-KyuG
- 70J. SekidikaF
- 23Kim Dong-HwaG
- 33Park Won-JaeD
- 39Min Sang-GiD
- 2Jang Seok-HwanD
- 17Joao PedroD
- 50A. Ba LouaM
- 14Yu Je-HoM
- 24Y. Kim
- 70Kim Woo-jinM
- 88Moon Min-seoF
- 16Joung Ji-hunF
- 1Kim Kyeong-minG
- 3Lee Min-KiD
- 7E. SaitoskiM
- 8Ju Se-JongM
- 11H. FridjonssonF
- 18J. IredaleF
- 19Ahn Hyeok-JuF
- 20Im Seung-KyumD
- 99Hong Yong-JunM
Form going into Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC
Gangwon FC
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Daejeon Citizen23 August 2026
- W3-2away to Ulsan Hyundai FC16 August 2026
Gwangju FC
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Incheon United23 August 2026
- L1-2Pohang Steelers15 August 2026
- D0-0away to Bucheon FC 19958 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gangwon FC | 35 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 44 | 34 | +10 | 51 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 35 | 3 | 14 | 18 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC
- 9 May 2026Gwangju FC 0–0 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 4 April 2026Gangwon FC 3–0 Gwangju FCK League 1
- 23 August 2025Gwangju FC 0–1 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 25 May 2025Gwangju FC 0–1 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 13 April 2025Gangwon FC 1–0 Gwangju FCK League 1
- 18 August 2024Gangwon FC 3–2 Gwangju FCK League 1
Leading scorers: Gangwon FC and Gwangju FC
Gangwon FC
GoalsAssists
- Mo Jae-Hyeon42
- A. Halaihal40
Gwangju FC
GoalsAssists
- J. Iredale90
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gangwon FC and Gwangju FC drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Gangwon FC at 80% and given a draw 12%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 8 matches like this one. The goals: Moon Min-seo 5' for Gwangju FC, Moon Min-seo (penalty) 45' for Gwangju FC, M. Tuci 88' for Gangwon FC, Kim Dong-Hyun 89' for Gangwon FC. Sent off: Hong Chul (Gangwon FC) 68'.