Mamelodi Sundowns vs Amazulu Premier Soccer League prediction & result
Final score: Mamelodi Sundowns 5-2 Amazulu.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Mamelodi Sundowns, 20% draw, 32% Amazulu — fair odds of 2.08, 5.00 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Mamelodi Sundowns at 48%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Mamelodi Sundowns vs Amazulu
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30R. WilliamsG
- 27T. MorenaD
- 20G. KekanaD
- 42M. KhozaD
- 23F. BasadienD
- 21S. MkhuliseM
- 4T. MokoenaM
- 38S. Ndlovu
- 33C. MailulaM
- 17T. MatthewsM
- 12B. LeonF
- 31R. GossG
- 6A. ModibaD
- 28Z. MdunyelwaD
- 3K. NdamaneD
- 11M. AllendeM
- 43K. LethlakuF
- 18T. ZwaneM
- 46B. MokoenaF
- 13I. RaynersF
- 24W. KouassiG
- 42S. MthethwaD
- 12T. FieliesD
- 4R. HanamubD
- 3O. MdakaD
- 14N. RadebeM
- 19S. ZikhaliM
- 17L. BernM
- 15M. MbanjwaM
- 2A. MaqokolaF
- 23T. NgwenyaF
- 1O. MzimelaG
- 33K. PhillipsD
- 5K. AllanD
- 21T. MatlhokoM
- 18N. MokoenaM
- 38G. MoraloM
- 50L. MhlongoM
- 6S. HlangabezaM
- 11A. SitholeM
Form going into Mamelodi Sundowns vs Amazulu
Mamelodi Sundowns
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Marumo Gallants19 August 2026
- D1-1away to Kaizer Chiefs15 August 2026
- W3-2away to TS Galaxy11 August 2026
Amazulu
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Siwelele15 August 2026
- D1-1Orlando Pirates12 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 9 | +18 | 26 |
| 3 | Amazulu | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Mamelodi Sundowns vs Amazulu
- 24 February 2026Amazulu 0–1 Mamelodi SundownsPremier Soccer League
- 12 August 2025Mamelodi Sundowns 2–0 AmazuluPremier Soccer League
- 11 March 2025Mamelodi Sundowns 2–0 AmazuluPremier Soccer League
- 24 December 2024Amazulu 0–1 Mamelodi SundownsPremier Soccer League
- 27 February 2024Mamelodi Sundowns 3–0 AmazuluPremier Soccer League
- 6 December 2023Amazulu 0–1 Mamelodi SundownsPremier Soccer League
Leading scorers: Mamelodi Sundowns and Amazulu
Mamelodi Sundowns
GoalsAssists
- I. Rayners40
- T. Matthews34
- B. León31
Amazulu
GoalsAssists
- T. Ngwenya81
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Mamelodi Sundowns beat Amazulu 5–2. The model had made a win for Mamelodi Sundowns its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: B. Leon 25' for Mamelodi Sundowns, T. Mokoena 32' for Mamelodi Sundowns, T. Ngwenya 46' for Amazulu, T. Matthews 51' for Mamelodi Sundowns, B. Leon 66' for Mamelodi Sundowns, T. Ngwenya 70' for Amazulu, B. Mokoena 90' for Mamelodi Sundowns. On expected goals it finished 2.64–0.38.