FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: FC Dallas 1-0 Los Angeles FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% FC Dallas, 28% draw, 35% Los Angeles FC — fair odds of 2.70, 3.57 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Dallas at 37% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC
Line-ups
- 40J. SiroisG
- 25S. IbeaghaD
- 3O. UrhoghideD
- 32N. NorrisD
- 14H. JohanssonM
- 55KaickM
- 12C. CappisM
- 18S. MooreM
- 21J. ValienteM
- 10S. MorenoM
- 23L. FarringtonF
- 8P. DelgadoM
- 33C. HolstadM
- 5L. AbubakarD
- 28Samuel SarverF
- 30Michael CollodiG
- 7D. JobM
- 11A. JulioF
- 16Nicholas SimmondsF
- 27Caleb SwannM
- 1H. LlorisG
- 14Sergi PalenciaD
- 5R. PorteousD
- 91N. TafariD
- 24R. HollingsheadD
- 8M. DelgadoM
- 4E. SeguraM
- 23Y. CheberkoM
- 9A. SiebF
- 17J. EbobisseF
- 19T. BoydF
- 45Kenny NielsenD
- 31Cabral CarterG
- 47Marius AiyeneroF
- 21R. RaposoM
- 90Tommy MihalicF
- 49C. KosakoffF
- 6Igor JesusM
- 44C. DiazD
- 20S. VasquezM
Form going into FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC
FC Dallas
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Austin20 September 2026
- W2-1Portland Timbers13 September 2026
- W2-1away to Minnesota United FC10 September 2026
- W4-3Sporting Kansas City6 September 2026
- D3-3away to St. Louis City30 August 2026
Los Angeles FC
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to San Jose Earthquakes19 September 2026
- L1-3away to Sporting Kansas City13 September 2026
- W2-0New York Red Bulls10 September 2026
- D2-2away to Real Salt Lake6 September 2026
- D0-0away to DC United29 August 2026
What these results say
- FC Dallas went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- FC Dallas scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Dallas conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Los Angeles FC failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Los Angeles FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Dallas | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 58 | 49 | +9 | 54 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 35 | +15 | 47 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC
- 8 March 2026Los Angeles FC 1–0 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- 24 August 2025FC Dallas 1–1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 13 July 2025Los Angeles FC 2–0 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- 22 September 2024FC Dallas 3–1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- 2 June 2024Los Angeles FC 1–0 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: FC Dallas and Los Angeles FC
FC Dallas
GoalsAssists
- P. Musa225
Los Angeles FC
GoalsAssists
- D. Bouanga185
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Dallas beat Los Angeles FC 1–0. The model had made a win for FC Dallas its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Osaze Urhoghide 34' for FC Dallas.
How the call on FC Dallas v Los Angeles FC has moved
First published on 13 Sep at 44% / 29% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 37% / 28% / 35%: the biggest move is Los Angeles FC's chance of winning, up 8 points.
- FC Dallas win37%▼ −7
- Draw28%▼ −1
- Los Angeles FC win35%▲ +8
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often FC Dallas's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) and Los Angeles FC's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.