Regular Season - 33 · 24 October 2026, 05:00 UTC

FC Anyang vs Jeonbuk Motors K League 1 prediction

Anyang Stadium, Anyang

Our model says: FC Anyang 0–1 Jeonbuk Motors

The model makes it 29% FC Anyang, 28% draw, 43% Jeonbuk Motors — fair odds of 3.45, 3.57 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Expected goals: FC Anyang 1.15, Jeonbuk Motors 1.49.

Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, under 2.5: 51%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Edge to Jeonbuk Motors: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published · updated

Key facts

  • FC Anyang are 8th on 41 points from 31 games; Jeonbuk Motors are 5th on 44 points from 31 games — K League 1.
  • FC Anyang are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 1-0 win away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
  • Jeonbuk Motors are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Daejeon Citizen.
  • Last 6 meetings: Jeonbuk Motors 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 10 May 2026, ended FC Anyang 1–1 Jeonbuk Motors.

More K League 1 predictions

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: FC Anyang vs Jeonbuk Motors

54%
Both teams to score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

FC Anyang win Draw Jeonbuk Motors win
  1. 1–113%
  2. 0–110%
  3. 1–29%
  4. 0–28%
  5. 0–08%
  6. 1–08%
  7. 2–17%

Scores read FC Anyang first. Each bar is the model's probability of that exact result, drawn against the likeliest one; the other scorelines it considered share the remaining 38%.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Jeonbuk Motors at 43% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into FC Anyang vs Jeonbuk Motors

FC Anyang

  • W1-0away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC10 October 2026
  • W2-1Ulsan Hyundai FC19 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Gwangju FC13 September 2026
  • L2-3away to Daejeon Citizen9 September 2026
  • L0-3Gangwon FC6 September 2026

Jeonbuk Motors

  • L1-2away to Daejeon Citizen9 October 2026
  • D2-2Gwangju FC20 September 2026
  • L1-2FC Seoul12 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Gangwon FC9 September 2026
  • W2-0Pohang Steelers5 September 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8FC Anyang311011103947-841
5Jeonbuk Motors31111193930+944

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Jeonbuk Motors

Chance to finish in the top four · 44% today

Win 66%
Draw 31%
Defeat 20%

From our K League 1 season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.

Head-to-head: FC Anyang vs Jeonbuk Motors

  • 10 May 2026FC Anyang 1–1 Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1
  • 18 March 2026Jeonbuk Motors 2–1 FC AnyangK League 1
  • 8 August 2025Jeonbuk Motors 2–1 FC AnyangK League 1
  • 17 May 2025Jeonbuk Motors 2–0 FC AnyangK League 1
  • 30 March 2025FC Anyang 0–1 Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1
  • 17 April 2019Jeonbuk Motors 0–1 FC AnyangFA Cup

Leading scorers: FC Anyang and Jeonbuk Motors

FC Anyang

GoalsAssists

  • Airton50
  • Matheus Oliveira42

Jeonbuk Motors

GoalsAssists

  • Tiago Orobó60
  • Lee Seung-Woo43

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

The two sides

FC Anyang carry a model rating of 6.38 against 6.57 for Jeonbuk Motors. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.

What the model expects

Under the hood the model expects 1.15 goals for FC Anyang and 1.49 for Jeonbuk Motors. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.

FC Anyang rate 0.67 in attack and 1.74 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Jeonbuk Motors rate 0.68 and 1.21.

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 1,774 correct results out of 3,712 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Jeonbuk Motors the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.15 expected goals for FC Anyang against 1.49 for Jeonbuk Motors. FC Anyang's attack/defence rating is 0.67/1.74 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.68/1.21 for Jeonbuk Motors.

Season stats

FC AnyangJeonbuk Motors
31Matches31
10W 11D 10LRecord11W 11D 9L
39 1.3 per gameGoals scored39 1.3 per game
47 1.5 per gameGoals conceded30 1.0 per game
4 of 31Clean sheets13 of 31
6 of 31Failed to score7 of 31
5 of 7Penalties scored1 of 2
60 1.9 per gameYellow cards61 2.0 per game
4Red cards0
4-3-3 19×Usual shape4-2-3-1 26×

FC Anyang at home · Jeonbuk Motors away

15Played16
4W 5D 6LRecord4W 8D 4L
17–27Goals for – against16–13
0 of 15Clean sheets6 of 16

League matches only, K League 1, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All K League 1 matches this season: FC Anyang 31, Jeonbuk Motors 31.

FC Anyang scored 667768
Jeonbuk Motors conceded 443828

FC Anyang score most often in the 76–90 minute window (8 goals); Jeonbuk Motors have let in 8 there.

Jeonbuk Motors scored 4397214
FC Anyang conceded 52811119

Jeonbuk Motors score most often in the 76–90 minute window (14 goals); FC Anyang have let in 9 there.

Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.

The next 3 matches, by difficulty

FC Anyang

No further matches on our board yet.

Jeonbuk Motors

Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.