Platense vs Union Santa Fe Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Platense 2-2 Union Santa Fe.
Before kick-off the model made it 27% Platense, 23% draw, 50% Union Santa Fe — fair odds of 3.70, 4.35 and 2.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Union Santa Fe at 50% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Platense vs Union Santa Fe
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30Juan CozzaniG
- 4Agustín LagosD
- 13Ignacio VazquezD
- 34Mateo MendiaD
- 3Tomás Ariel SilvaD
- 5Ivan GómezM
- 24Martín BarriosM
- 7Guido MaineroM
- 43Nicolás RetamarM
- 33Juan GautoM
- 23Leonardo HerediaF
- 26Pablo FerreiraM
- 11Nico LópezF
- 18Bautista MerliniF
- 99Gonzalo LencinaF
- 17Felipe BussioM
- 22Nicolás SumavilG
- 32Santiago QuirosD
- 6Eugenio RaggioD
- 25Juan Ignacio SaboridoD
- 21Matías MansillaG
- 35Lautaro VargasD
- 44Tomás FagioliD
- 26Juan Pablo LudueñaD
- 18Lucas AyalaD
- 20Julián PalaciosM
- 5Lucas MenossiM
- 8Emilio GiacconeM
- 22Brahian CuelloM
- 31Misael AguirreF
- 25Cristian TarragonaF
- 38Valentín CerrudoF
- 29Santino VeraM
- 12Bruno PittónD
- 34Mateo PeresuttiM
- 40Lucas MeuliG
- 32Nazareno FazziD
- 36Mateo AimarD
- 33Ignacio IslaD
- 46Santiago GrellaM
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Platense vs Union Santa Fe
- 22 January 2026Union Santa Fe 0–0 PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina
- 2 December 2024Platense 1–0 Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina
- 20 February 2024Union Santa Fe 0–0 PlatenseCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 25 September 2023Platense 1–0 Union Santa FeCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 15 July 2023Union Santa Fe 0–0 PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Platense and Union Santa Fe
Platense
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Union Santa Fe
GoalsAssists
- C. Tarragona152
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Platense and Union Santa Fe drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Union Santa Fe at 50% and given a draw 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: T. Fagioli (own goal) 24' for Platense, J. Luduena 72' for Union Santa Fe, C. Tarragona (penalty) 79' for Union Santa Fe, B. Merlini 87' for Platense. On expected goals it finished 0.65–1.30.