Enppi vs Masr Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Enppi 2-1 Masr.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Enppi, 28% draw, 30% Masr — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Enppi at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Enppi vs Masr
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Body Samir
- 31A. MahmoudD
- 36M. Basir
- 4A. Ibrahim
- 47M. Hamdi
- 14E. MayhoubM
- 6Z. KamalM
- 7A. HawashM
- 19A. Ehab
- 28H. AbdallahM
- 10KahrabaF
- 29R. MostafaG
- 5S. ElkhashabD
- 3M. DaoudD
- 30M. Essam
- 25S. SaidM
- 77M. Goldy
- 9M. El NahasF
- 11M. HathoutF
- 35O. BodianF
- 1A. LotfiG
- 23T. AlaaD
- 2M. HusseinD
- 34M. MohamedD
- 26M. RabiaD
- 18Ahmed El SageeryM
- 10M. SaadM
- 33M. IbrahimM
- 74Mahmoud Sayed OkaaM
- 14MessiM
- 11Abdelrahman El SakranF
- 16M. MazzikaG
- 15S. Ibrahim
- 3A. BakriD
- 73W. Nabhan
- 22M. BolbolM
- 19M. EzzF
- 9A. AtefF
- 72M. HajijM
- 35O. KhedrF
Form going into Enppi vs Masr
Enppi
Premier League
- D0-0away to Ghazl El Mehalla1 September 2026
Masr
Premier League
- W1-0away to El Geish1 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Enppi | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 |
| 9 | Masr | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Enppi and Masr
Enppi
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Masr
GoalsAssists
- Ahmed Atef21
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Enppi beat Masr 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Enppi at 42%. The goals: Kahraba (penalty) 33' for Enppi, A. Ibrahim 42' for Enppi, W. Nabhan 56' for Masr. On expected goals it finished 2.01–1.73.
How the call on Enppi v Masr has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 40% / 30% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 42% / 28% / 30%: the biggest move is Enppi's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Enppi win42%▲ +2
- Draw28%▼ −2
- Masr win30%=
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.