El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly Premier League prediction & result
Final score: El Mokawloon 1-1 Al Ahly.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% El Mokawloon, 28% draw, 36% Al Ahly — fair odds of 2.78, 3.57 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts El Mokawloon at 36% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly
El Mokawloon
- W1-0away to El Gouna FC2 September 2026
- L2-3Al Masry27 August 2026
- L0-1away to El Geish22 August 2026
Al Ahly
- W1-0Smouha SC3 September 2026
- W2-0away to Masr28 August 2026
- W3-2Enppi23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | El Mokawloon | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Al Ahly | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: El Mokawloon and Al Ahly
El Mokawloon
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Al Ahly
- Zizo2 goals
- Marwan Attia1 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.